BuckUte's picture


Member since 18 June 2014 | Blog

Recent Activity

Comment 15 Oct 2015

So here is the thing about all of these statitistical models...none of them have been able to outperform Vegas in terms of predictive power. Until they can do so they are largely meaningless. 

Comment 13 Oct 2015

Yeah, I wouldn't bet on Utah making the CFP. Still too many teams on the schedule talented enough to knock them off. 

Comment 08 Oct 2015

Absolutely. Utah has been very susceptible to airraid offenses in the past. 

Comment 28 Sep 2015

Thanks. I will have to snoop around. Hell, maybe I just found a thesis. I'm sure my advisor wouldn't mind awarding a degree for such a frivolous topic (though that is still several years out) /s

Comment 28 Sep 2015

A couple nerd questions (I am currently a statistics PhD student at tOSU). First I am curious if there have been any post hoc analysis on predictive power of these methods this early in the season. If these methods are really designed to determine how good s team is instead of how good their season has been, there should be a fairly impressive consistency in predictive ability. Second, this early in the season seems like there would be fairly wide error margins for an estimated mean for team quality. Is there anywhere to find answers to these questions? Because point estimates (the rankings as given) are about the least useful tools of analysis without understanding margin and predictive error. 

Comment 27 Sep 2015

Urban is not the only coach to lead Utah to an undefeated season. Whittingham lead Utah to a perfect season in 2008 with a Sugar Bowl win over Alabama. But I digress. 

Comment 25 Sep 2015

But in all seriousness I would want the Buckeyes in a close, competitive game.