This team will be better than expected, but still not good in large part due too the bullpen. I believe this because I think we'll have a surprising good second half.
Come All-Star break, our rotation could consist of Iglesias, Desclafani, Bailey, and the two young studs in AAA Reed and Stephenson. Now I am not expecting them to live up to their ceiling right away, but on pure talent alone this is an above average rotation with a top-5 upside. Plus, the cast-offs from the rotation (Read: Lorenzen/Finnegan) paired with Cingrani, Diaz, and Straily could be an above average bullpen as well. Lastly, I think the line-up is better than given credit for. Plus with Winker coming up as our future left fielder and Pereza, I think trading Cozart and Bruce could be an addition by subtraction so these guys can get some playing time.
In summation, I think this is a slightly below average team on 2016 with great reason for optimism for 2017.