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BuckminsterFullback


Member since 08 March 2014 | Blog

Recent Activity

Comment 09 Feb 2016

the CFP is won on the field, not on NSD

Agreed that the CFP is won on the field, but it can be lost on NSD.

Comment 06 Feb 2016

A friend gave me this tip, that he learned in college:

If you leave a meat-lovers pizza under the couch for 2 weeks, it turns into veggie-lovers pizza!

Comment 03 Feb 2016

Berger hasn't been able to play since his junior year of high school, in 2012-2013.

As far as I can tell, he's done his best to rehab the knee, and it just won't hold up. It doesn't strike me as fishy that he's decided to move on.

Comment 03 Feb 2016

I always felt Cooper was a great recruiter, but usually fell short on big game days,

He always seemed to have a befuddled expression on his face, when things where going badly.

Comment 03 Feb 2016

Yes, he said it, and he caught a ton of flack for saying it.

He said that he had teams at Tulsa with more talent than the OSU team he inherited. Might have been a tad hyperbolic, but there was a lot to it. Bruce's last team, 1987, went 6-4-1, and OSU had 4 guys drafted in the first 3 rounds of the 1988 draft.

I recall reading, at the time, that Bruce and some of his staff had alienated a lot of high school coaches around Ohio, and the result was an exodus of Ohio talent to Notre Dame, TTUN, Pitt, and elsewhere. In addition to expanding recruiting of the south, Cooper also had to patch relationships within Ohio.

Comment 02 Feb 2016

The QB is only as good as the pass protection allows him to be.

Only two returning starters on the OL, and one of them is moving to a new position. Plenty of talent, but not much experience, ready in the wings.

Let's not lose our minds if there are a few rough patches in the first few games. 

Comment 01 Feb 2016

If they continue to play at their current level, I don't think OSU makes the NCAA tournament.

The Buckeyes are currently 14-8 overall, and 6-4 in the conference. Ken Pomery gives them a 72% chance of beating Northwestern, 82% chance of beating Rutgers, 51% chance of beating Michigan, and 41% chance of beating Nebraska. Even if you assume OSU wins all 4 of those games, they likely finish 18-12 overall, 10-8 in the conference. A 10-8 finish will likely put them somewhere between 7th and 10th in the conference, meaning they will probably play a team seeded between 7th and 10th in the first round of the B1G tournament. 

If they win their first B1G game, they will likely play one of (Iowa, Maryland, Michigan St, Indiana, Purdue). To this point, they haven't demonstrated that they are likely to beat any of those teams on a neutral court. If they lose their 2nd B1G game, they finish 19-13 overall.

The Buckeyes currently stand 81st in RPI, 68th in KenPom, and 62nd in BPI. Those sort of rankings, with a 19-13 record and only one good win (Kentucky) won't get them into the NCAA.

Simply put, they need to start playing to their full potential, right now, and beat some good teams, or they're likely going to the NIT. They need to beat Wiscy, split with Mich St, and either beat Iowa in the regular season, or beat a #1 to #3 seed in the second game of the B1G, to have any chance to make the NCAA.

Comment 30 Jan 2016

It's a nice play, and all, but there's not enough dancing after he scores.

Comment 29 Jan 2016

Thompson has nice touch around the basket. His issue, offensively, has been handling entry passes cleanly. Hopefully he will improve his chemistry with the guards on the entry passes.

Giddens needs to continue working on his offensive moves, with his back to the basket. He has shown an ability to work the ball back outside to an open shooter. He also can go strong to the hoop after he catches a pass while he's facing the basket; I think we'll start seeing more of Harris penetrating, and passing to Giddens for the finish.

Given the Buckeyes' tendency to start slowly, I think it's a good plan to start Giddens, then bring in Thompson to finish each half; an added benefit is that you'd rather see Thompson at the line in a 1-and-1, than Giddens.

Comment 29 Jan 2016

It's great that OSU is now 6-3 in the B1G. Keep in mind, the first half of their B1G schedule has been much easier than the second half projects to be.

I hacked up a spreadsheet to use KenPom data, and, if my spreadsheet is correct, OSU projects to go 3-6 in the second half, with one of those wins a close one at home vs. TTUN.

Site opponent osu win probability
vs Maryland 35.6%
at Wisconsin 32.2%
vs Northwestern

73.1%

at Rutgers 82.2%
vs Michigan 52.2%
at Nebraska 40.8%
vs Michigan St. 32.2%
vs Iowa 26.3%
at Michigan St. 11.8%

So, I guess I'm saying:

* Curb your enthusiasm

* If the Bucks do happen to win 4 or fewer games down the stretch, don't conclude that they regressed; the second half of the B1G schedule is much more difficult.