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branz


Member since 13 March 2012 | Blog

Helmet Stickers: 109 | Leaderboard

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  • NFL TEAM: Cincinnati Bengals
  • MLB TEAM: Cincinnati Reds
  • SOCCER TEAM: Columbus Crew

Recent Activity

Comment 06 Dec 2013

You only need one point to win, but you can't only have one point in football. So I'll go with two. They only need two points to beat Sparty.

Comment 04 Dec 2013

Marketplace was incredible my Freshman/Sophomore year (05-07). I would 30-45 minutes for Pasta New Orleans, Chicken Alfredo (with Rotini noodles) or General Tso's. It was definitely worth it.

I am sad for those of you that did not get to experience the same Marketplace.

Comment 04 Dec 2013

"The Buckeyes holds a much bigger advantage when running on 2nd down. The math says that they're at their best when they run it on this down"

I'd like to know if this is due to Ohio State being in favorable 2nd down situations (i.e. 2nd and short yardage) allowing them to have the whole playbook at their disposal.

Comment 18 Nov 2013

I agree with you, no guarantees on field goals. I think Wisconsin is very good and was shorted a chance to win the game, but the statement implied that if the officials had spotted the ball quickly, Wisconsin would have won. That simply is not the case.

Comment 18 Nov 2013

I struggle with this. I believe rankings should only be predicated on the accomplishments of a team for this season, not last season. Based upon that, I have Ohio State at #3. Looking at the resumes... Florida State has the best win (dominating @Clemson) and hasn't even been challenged to this point. We can debate if Clemson is a top 10 team, but they are a good football team and FSU made them look silly. Alabama has wins @Texas A&M and they beat LSU at home handily. Ohio State's best wins are Wisconsin at home and then? Northwestern on the road or Penn State at home? Baylor's best win is Oklahoma, not exactly a great win, but still a good team. Baylor's resume isn't much different than Ohio State's. All four teams are very close with Florida State getting the nod, based on having the best win to date and dominating every game they have played.

So I go with:

1) FSU

2) Alabama

3) Ohio State

4) Baylor

Comment 13 Nov 2013

Only if the events are mutually exclusive, which they are not. In that case, the probability of both teams losing would need to be subtracted (removing the intersection of both teams losing).

I chose to calculate P(A undefeated) AND P(F undefeated). Subtracting that value from one gives the probability of one of the two losing. 

Comment 13 Nov 2013

76.9% seemed a little high to me, so I did some calculating on my own. Based on you game by game probabilities, I agree with your assessment of Alabama and Florida State's individual probabilities of going undefeated (44.1% and 52.4%, respectively). I don't agree with the probability of the following two scenarios:

Alabama AND FSU both lose, OSU undefeated (I get 13.3%)

Alabama OR FSU loses, OSU undefeated (I get 38.5%)

I believe you forgot to factor in Ohio State's chances of going undefeated in you equations. Let me define my variables first...

     A = Alabama's chances of going undefeated = 44.1%

     F = FSU's chances of going undefeated = 52.4%

     O = OSU's chances of going undefeated = 50.1%

Here is how I calculated each...

     Alabama AND FSU both lose, OSU undefeated

     = (1 - A) x (1 - F) x O

     Alabama OR FSU does not go undefeated, OSU undefeated

     = (1 - A x F) x O

Comment 25 Oct 2013

I voted for Beanie and came here to say this about the offensive line. To add, I think Beanie was also more exposive/had more break away speed. Images like this come to mind:

 

Comment 11 Apr 2013

Nothing has been more confusing to me than Tank's slide down to being undrafted and back up to end of the first round.