Don't think Michigan can beat you, as it currently stands. There are several observations I would make. First, Michigan has been decimated at a single position: NT. Former five star Ondre Pipkins transferred out . . . Harbaugh wouldn't play him health wise so he left. Mone, the number 2, broke his leg in August. And now Glasgow, the starter and linchpin to the DL, tore his pectoral muscle. That's 3 out of 4 NT are gone. If you watched the entire season, the DL was dominant until recently. We also lost a starter at DE, Ojemudia. Now, I'm not whining or making excuses. But winning now becomes extremely difficult.
Indiana is a weird team. May I remind you that Ohio State could easily have lost to them. And they gashed Iowa's DL in running as well. I really, really wish Howard would have transferred to Michigan instead of IU. C'est la vie. And regarding Minnesota, that was also a strange game. They were playing inspired, and there were some fluke pass completions.
Regarding your comments on Michigan's secondary, we've complained about the same thing for years, as regards MSU. (holding, clutching, grabbing, etc.). It kind of became, if you can't beat 'em, join 'em. However, until this year, our secondary couldn't have done it. And our secondary isn't great. We have one great CB (Lewis), Peppers is pretty good wherever he plays, and the rest of the secondary isn't bad. I can guarantee that Lewis will be matched on Thomas the whole game. If JT has time to get off perfect back shoulder fades, well, Thomas wins. If JT doesn't have time and his passes aren't accurate, well, who knows.
We have no idea what to think about Rudock and the receivers. However, if it is the case that he is healthy and has his timing down with Butt, Chesson, and Darboh, our passing game will be good. Rudock is unflappable, and he is really doing a great job of throwing high passes where only our TE (usually Butt) can get them. He has done similar things with Chesson. Chesson is faster than Peppers, and he and Rudock appear to finally have gotten over the hump.
There's no way we will be able to run on you. Our RB's are no good, and the OL isn't great. Better than terrible, but still not all that good. The only thing that could possibly help is if Rudock can actually shred your secondary, forcing the LB's to stay back and not cheat against the run. That's been the main MO against Michigan since RR, and I'd continue to do that until Rudock decidedly proves he is going to beat you over the top.
I do think you can beat MSU. Especially if Cook is injured.
But again, I really don't think Michigan can hang with OSU. The talent disparity is too great. We have no running game. Our OL isn't blowing holes for the RB. Our DL is hurt, down 4 guys. Our secondary only has one lockdown corner. Our LB corps is pretty mediocre. Our special teams started out very good, but our long snapper hurt is finger against MSU, and they aren't playing Peppers as much. We've gotten gashed the last couple games. All in all, this isn't our year.
But I don't think Harbaugh is going anywhere. I'm very pleased with our coaching. Our recruiting will be improving. And with it, the talent disparity will not be there much longer. After this year and next, I'll be shocked if Michigan and Ohio State don't return to largely playing 500 against each other.