I seriously doubt Hoke is going anywhere, at least not this year. If Michigan ends up 9 - 3, even with losses to OSU, MSU, & ND, he'll be given another year. Should Michigan actually win against the Buckeyes or Spartans, it will take quite a bit of pressure off. I won't presume to predict that is going to happen. There are at least three factors, in my mind.
- Injuries and other player losses. Who could have predicted that Miller and Spence would be out for Ohio State this year? Certainly not me. For Michigan, to have at least four starters out against Miami hurt their play (Funchess at WR, Desmond Morgan at LB, and Countess and Taylor at CB.) Getting Jake Butt back at TE has been important, and he is only going to get stronger. Having critical players in or out can affect the balance in a particular game.
- Player development. It appears things are finally beginning to jell for Michigan on the OL. There also has been a learning curve for Michigan's secondary with press coverage. There also are quite a few raw WR's who are learning the ropes and getting things down with route running. If these units get things down, Michigan is going to improve significantly over the course of the year.
- Turnovers. If Michigan continues to have turnovers at the rate they have over the last 3 games, it is going to be a long season. If they put and end to that, and the defense causes turnovers, well, that would be a huge change for Michigan.
I'm comfortable predicting 9 - 3 this year. Anything between 8 - 4 & 10 - 2 means that Hoke will not be going anywhere.