My broken record thoughts:
Top flight recruits rarely commit early.
Offer lists are more important than stars.
Lower star guys often have a lot of drive and want to prove people wrong.
Lower star recruits are often victims of circumstance due to geography and quality of competition and are thus difficult to evaluate.
We have solid commits doing work as we speak.
One or two key commits can start the avalanche again.
Urban always closes well.
I am not worried.