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bafiesta


San Francisco CA

Member since 13 October 2013 | Blog

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  • SPORTS MOMENT: Buckeyes knock down Dorsey's final pass to win the 2002 NC!
  • COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYER: Troy Smith
  • NFL TEAM: Bengals
  • MLB TEAM: Reds

Recent Activity

Comment 23 Dec 2014

Re Boston College Penn State...great write-up.  Can't wait to see the highlights of this game.  There should be a lot of spectacular fair catches.  

That the over-under on this game is 40 is hilarious. First one to 13 points should win this game.

Comment 19 Dec 2014

There is already a 11W Bowl Challenge on Yahoo.  They have a better site for fantasy sports.  Group ID 16239.

http://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/bowl/register/joinprivategroup

Comment 19 Dec 2014

I root for other Big10 teams in Bowl games because it makes OSU look better and might actually improve our odds of making the playoff in the future.  

I don't care if other B10 fans root for us or not, it has no actual effect on our game.  

Comment 18 Dec 2014

This is a great way to give yourself a rooting interest in all those lower tier bowls kinda like the NCAA brackets.  

The link is below, add the group ID 16239, no password.  

http://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/bowl/register/joinprivategroup

Comment 16 Dec 2014

Clearly all the posters on this board who criticized the Bengals for drafting Jeremy Hill over Hyde were wrong based on the early returns.  This is the NFL, if one player grades out a fraction of a point higher than another player you take him paying no attention to the conference or regional affiliation...just like Mayer does with recruiting.  Take the best available not the almost as good Ohio kid. 

Comment 14 Dec 2014

Great analysis Remy.  Their defense holds opponents to almost half their normal output, our defense hold opponents to about two-thirds of their normal output.  

Pushing the advantage a bit further in Alabama's favor is that their opponents opponents (lots of other SEC West teams) had better defenses than our opponents opponents.  

Comment 07 Dec 2014

How we play on Jan 1 will impact how we are percieved next year.  A blowout loss and the B10 is aweful narrative will hurt next year.  Q win or a tight game will prove we are a legit national title contender.  We will still have lots of doubters until we beat a good OOC team or at least take Bama into the final minutes. 

Comment 06 Dec 2014

The Big12 is no different than the Big10 was for decades when we had co-champions on a regular basis.  Head to head was never a tiebreaker for the champion lable in the B10.  According the B12 TCU & Baylor will be co-champions.  

Comment 05 Dec 2014

Agree.  The Big will get 2 teams between the playoff and the committee bowls. This scenario will not occur.  Disacter averted 6-6 Illinois will get to go to a bowl ;)

Comment 04 Dec 2014

I agree silver bullet, but even if he didn't commit rape he committed a reprehensible act.  His roommates filmed him with a girl who had been drinking and when the act was over he dropped her off at some street corner...and that's the most favorable possible version of the story for him.  None of us will know the details with any certainty. 

Comment 03 Dec 2014

Ron - I agree with the logic in your last paragraph.  We actually want Baylor to win just in case the committee will vault them ahead of TCU and then compare us to Baylor rather than TCU.  However you are basically admitting here that TCU has the better body of work otherwise we would not care which we are compared too.

Neutral factors: Conference champion.  The Big12 will recognize both as co champions should they both win Saturday.

Factors that favor Baylor

Head to Head - significant but not as huge a factor as many believe.  Baylor won by 3 at home...home field advantage is worth at least 3. 

Factors that favor TCU:

strength of schedule - basically they played the same schedule except TCU pasted Minny, while Baylor beat Buffalo.  Minny turned out to be a quality win.

margin of victory - against common opponents TCU did better in 5 of 7 cases, 7 of 9 if both games go according to the point spreads this weekend

'best team' - the committee (and by the way Vegas) would consider TCU a favorite if they played on a neutral field next week.

I think the committee will keep TCU ahead of Baylor unless Baylor absolutely slaughters KSU.  

Comment 03 Dec 2014

One problem with an 8 team playoff with 5 auto qualifiers is that it distorts the conference championship games much like the final game of the regular season in the NFL when certain teams have already clinched a spot.  For instance even with a loss Bama would be certain to be one of the top 3 at large teams.  Why not rest star players, anyone dinged-up and more or less let Mizzou win?  

Comment 03 Dec 2014

TCU deserves to be ranked ahead of Baylor, harder to compare vs. OSU but they certainly have a case.

TCU lost to Baylor by 3 points on the road (home field advantage is 3 points), but they beat WVU while Baylor lost to WVU evening out the records.  Excluding head to head and WVU, TCU beat 4 common opponents by more points (likely to be 6 after this weekend) and Baylor only beat 2 common opponents by more than Baylor.

Common Opponents Point Diff
SMU +11 TCU
Oklahoma +30 Baylor
Ok State +12 TCU
Tx Tech +53 TCU
Kansas +42 Baylor
Texas +17 TCU
WVA +15 TCU
Head to Head +3 Baylor
KSU TCU won by 21, Baylor 9 point favorite
Iowa State Baylor won by 21, TCU 33 point favorite

The Big12 will officially recognize both as conference champs just like the Big10 did before we had a conference championship.  It's now clear the committee will weigh (and rightfully so) TCU's stronger schedule and better margin of victory over the close head to head game played at Baylor.  

I too think we either need to blow out Wisc or we need someone ahead of us to lose.  If we beat Wisconsin in a close game and wind up in the Cotton Bowl, I'll be pretty happy with the team this year.  Obviously would prefer making the playoff.  

Comment 02 Dec 2014

TCU definately had a better game last week than us.  Texas is at least slightly better than Michigan and TCU won on the road with a much higher margin of victory.  

Comment 02 Dec 2014

Part of it is that we picked the wrong team to join the B10.  We picked a team with more past than future.  With Mizzu the SEC got a team with more future than past.  Maryland will have a good future.  

Comment 01 Dec 2014

There is absolutely no chance we leapfrog TCU this week.  They played a better opponent (slightly) and won by a much bigger margin.  I doubt Baylor jumps us this week, but if they do it's irrelevant.  The committee will have a chance to see CJ in a big game before making the only ranking that actually matters.   Tomorrow's rankings will be:

1 Alabama

2 Oregon

3 FSU

4 TCU

5 OSU

6 Baylor

Comment 30 Nov 2014

They may not want a coordinator or a MAC level had coach, but I don't think they can lure a big time HC to the position.  How attractive is this position?

* Nebraska hasn't been nationally relevant in the lives of the recruits

* it sits in a recruiting dead zone

* they just fired a 9-3 coach

Can't see many big 5 head coaches leaving for this position.  

Comment 30 Nov 2014

Wisconsin is a 3 point favorite with the opening lines.  

Run defense is a concern but I think this will be a close one.  Meyer has not shown much confidence CJ to date with the very limited pass attempts he's been given even with the score in hand. With a whole week of practice with the 1s I am hoping CJ can have a solid game.  He has different strengths than JT (rocket arm) and Wisconsin has almost no film on him.

Comment 30 Nov 2014

Dumb move by Nebraska.  He had a shot at his first 10 win season and never had a bad season.  Nebraska is in the middle of a recruiting dead zone.  

Comment 29 Nov 2014

We can't just count quality wins and ignore the losses.  TCU plays a 9 game conference schedule so I don't think the extra game really helps us.  We both will have played 9 conference games and 1 OOC game against a power 5.  We had 1 extra game against a non power 5.  

Having said that, our biggest obstacle to making the playoffs is Wisconsin, not TCU.  There is a greater than 50% chance a top 4 will lose next week.  Ga Tech is the best team FSU will have played all year and they have the running game to win in the 4th quarter.  That one is a near toss-up, I'm picking Ga Tech.  

Comment 29 Nov 2014

Agree.  This is why I think it will be somewhat of a negative for us, but not a huge factor.  Just a small factor may be enough to keep TCu ahead of us though.