I absolutely don't want conference champs to get an auto bid. No way USC deserves to be in the playoffs with 4 losses wheather they beat Stanford on the second try or not.
Yep 8 team playoff means Clemson rests their starters this week essentially gifting a playoff spot to NC.
What kills our SOS was our B1G West schedule. We played 2 5-7 teams who went 2-6 in the B1G. Bama will have played the top 3 teams in the SEC West after Saturday. Those teams will finish 10-3, 9-3, and 8-4. If we had the same record but notched wins against NorthWestern and Wisconsin instead of Illinois and Minn, we'd have a much better chance of staying ahead of UNC & Stanford should UNC pull the upset.
I don't think we are the best one loss team but we are the best one loss tam among those vying for the last playoff spot should UNC win. I think the committee will feel that way too, but do they think a somewhat better team who didn't play in a conference championship game is more worthy than a slightly lesser conference champ?
I think we have a reasonable chance if UNC wins and a strong chance if Florida wins (which is like saying we have virtually no chance of having a strong chance).
Little Bosa is a likely redshirt due to the fact that he will start the season still recovering from the ACL injury.
That's partially what we had with the BCS computer formulas. I think the committee can do a better job.
Bama beat Miss State who was ranked today but will fall out of the rankings and they beat LSU, Georgia, & Wisky by big margins. Wisky & LSU will be ranked next week with their wins and several losses by teams in the bottom of the top 25. Arkansas, Tenn, & Texas A&M are all solid wins (better than any win we have other than Michigan).
Stanford has 0.0% chance of moving past us. Our win was far more impressive today and they will play a 4 loss team they already beat in the conference championship game...that won't add much to their resume. The fact that one of their losses is to a B1G team doesn't hurt either.
Just taking a guess, but I think Clemson will be no more than a 6-7 point favorite over NC. I'd give NC at least a 1 in 3 shot of winning.
Bama Wins, Clemson wins
4 winner MSU/Iowa
Bama Wins, NC wins
3 winner MSU/Iowa
Florida Wins, Clemson wins
3 winner MSU/Iowa
Florida Wins, NC wins, hell gets very icy
2 winner MSU/Iowa
In all the above scenarios the committee could swap spats with B1G winner and Oklahoma.
Why I think we will be ahead of NC even if they beat Clemson:
* we destroyed Va Tech, they needed OT
* they played 2 FCS teams OOC
* their loss is a really ugly one to 3-9 South Carolina
* they played 0 bowl eligible OOC teams, we played 3
We will need either Florida to upset Alabama or NC to upset Clemson but not by too much to get in.
The announcer is an idiot. If everyone wins out ND is left out of the playoff. The committee pretty much already announced that with their rankings last Tuesday.
Our biggest problem is not when we lost but who we lost to. Not playing in the conference championship game is killing our playoff chances.
Agree, but against MSU it's hard for anyone to get touches when you only get 3 plays per possession and 1-2 of those plays are QB runs.
PSU is an 11 point underdog which translates into about a 20% chance of winning.
The line on OSU v TSUN has swung significantly. After the initial overreation to our MSU loss TSUN quickly moved to a 3 point favorite. Now we are the 1 point favorite.
If we win, worst case scenario we go to a New Year's 6 bowl game.
Great point Prickly. In fact if we ban activities where someone dies, shouldn't football have been banned multiple times over?
This season reminded me a lot of 2013. OSU kept beating inferior opponent but you just got the feeling that the poor play on one side of the ball would bite us at some point.
This is probably the committee's worst nightmare. That 4th slot would be a very close call between 3 teams - similar to last year. Style points could well factor in in that case.
Most years there is a significant amount of chaos in November. Last year was an exception which put more pressure on the committee. I think there is at least a shot of one of the Baylor-TCU-NC getting in...but they would need to win out and would at the least need an ND loss to Stanford.
Herbie is objective and has by far the biggest platform and the most air time to voice his views.
Hard to say what would have happened if Baylor had their starting QB. Still wouldn't have helped their defense, but could have conceivably produced a couple more scores.
I guess so - just saw that's 4 hour old news. Going to be a great recruiting weekend.
I think we open about a 12-13 point favorite.
MSU will get a nice bump in rankings. Gameday in Columbus nearly certain.