Exactly. If he had an injury (or several) that prevented him from returning to his Freshman form, or if he pulled a Spence, keeping him off the filed, he'll have made little more contribution than Schutt. I don't expect either of those things to happen. But simply to assume that they won't happen when evaluating ACTUAL production is wrong. My prediction is that, two years form now, he'll be celebrated as one of the great ones, but at this juncture, it's merely a prediction.
There is a middle ground. "Bust" makes it sound as if there were no contribution, which in Schutt's case there was, even if it didn't meet expectations. I think there is a middle ground between Boom and Bust, which is what Seger seems to be saying. The other "Busts" didn't contribute anything meaningful, for whatever reason in each individual case..
... and Shawn Springs, and Ray Griffin. Quite frankly there are just too damned many of them to remember them all.
... or in the god-forsaken S-E-C.
I don't like the idea of more expansion. With 16 teams (for football), you end up with two divisions that are essentially separate conferences whose champions play each other. I don't see schools having fewer than three non-conference games anytime soon, meaning that, after 7 intra-divisional games, each team.would play only two of the 8 teams from the other division in a season. It would take four years to play every team in the other conference on a rotational basis, and it would be only every eighth year that they'd have an away game at each school in the other division. Now I realize that looking forward to away games at Illinois and Purdue, say, isn't a "thing." But not playing Wisky, or Nebraska, or even Iowa for years detarcts from a sense of the Big Ten as a single conference. At least in basketball (and probably most non-revenue sports) they'd be able to play every team every year.
Sorry, '68 - you lost me.
Good! There are way too many cupcakes.
I think that for the very elite talent (5* and 4*), the chance to play for the Buckeyes and compete in the national spotlight for B1G and National championships will continue be a big draw. I predict that Luke will be locking down a lot of talent on the next tier. Both the Buckeyes and the Bearcats will still have to contend with ND and other out of state schools who have done well here. I think we'll see a lot of the Cincy area talent staying in state.
His best actual COACHING at tOSU was during his during his first two seasons, with a bunch of leftovers and transfers, fist winning 20 games (beating #1 Illinois) with no post-season opportunity, and then winning the B1G the following the following year. Subsequently he thrived on a series of top-shelf recruits (perhaps aided by some decent coaching), but when he stopped getting the top recruits, he wasn't able to recapture whatever "magic" that let to his early success. perhaps it was his medical condition, perhaps it was a different set of assistants, perhaps the landscape of the game just changed underneath him. It's obvious there will be no coaching change this year. Although I'll be rooting for a 20-win season (improbable with this roster) to signal some sort of rebound, perhaps it's best if he helps the program by working towards an orderly transition to a new coach for next year.
I prefer forecasting the past. It's so much easier.
Ohhh... so you're asking suggestions on where to GO, not what to DO. Got it. I'll keep quiet.
He should skip the actual coaching part altogether, and just find a school willing to pay him NOT to coach from day 1. He could offer that service at a discount.
I could be wrong (it's been known to happen!), but don't the rating services limit the number of 5* prospects to 32 or so, which essentially equates to the talent they foresee as eventual first-round draft picks? To get a bigger sample size than just "top 5" or "top 10," couldn't you compare the number of 5* prospects in a class for each school to the number of 1st round draft picks 3 and 4 years hence (since very few 5* recruits will stay 5 years, and very few 5-year players will be drafted in the first round)?
I don't expect that he's being paid now at Miami (OH). But if he's getting a Master's, it should ultimately be worth more.
Good luck to this young man in the future. He has a college degree, and likely will get another, and has a noble plan. Injuries (and not the perceived character issues) seem to be what hampered his college career. There's more to life than football.
I've been a defender of Thad. I don't know how to anymore. Either he gets the remaining odds and ends of his roster to perform better than expected AND lands some quality recruits for this year and/or next, or he should be out. I don't see how anyone currently on the roster or the two committed for next year figure better than supporting pieces (and I happen to to LIKE the Wessons, Goodwin, and others).
A seismic shift in the page, to be sure. Yet it STILL doesn't get me listed. Go figure.
Huh. The new leaderboard format doesn't get me ON it. Does that mean i still have to earn (a helluva lot) more stickers to be listed? Life is so unfair.
True. My concern with this team will be how they are able to stuff the the up-the middle runs against opponents built to do that. We have decent (not great) NTs to rotate in, but no rtop-of-the-line player at that position. And Worley is willing to take on blockers and down-hill runners, but he's small for a MLB. A combination of desire, scheme, and taking away everything else will be required against those teams (Alabama and Wisconsin, e.g.)
PSU and TTUN are really the only possibilities, unless there is a seismic shift of some sort. Wisky will likely be a contender for the B1G West and therefore the B1G championship for the foreseeable future. I just don't see them able to win three post-season games against what would always be top-level competition. MSU under D'antonio has seen its peak, which it could possibly reach again. Iowa is AT its peak. Nebraska is, long-term, the "best of the rest," aided by being in the West, but a climb to Natty-level performance seems improbable. Can PSU or TTUN do it? They will always be in the hunt in the hunt in the B1G East, and have the history and resources to attract decent players. With the right coach, and the the right alignment of circumstances, either could be next. For all his quirks, and as much as we like to make fun of him, Harbaugh should not be discounted. The Game will likely always be crucial for keeping them from moving on to the next level.
They do. And recruiting those 1st round-ers (and/or other top players) is part of a coach's job at a top program. It doesn't have to be a 1st round-er, but to have a great team, you really want/need a guy who, when the game is on the line, is willing and able to carry the team on his shoulders. He can't do it alone, which is why you need a good supporting cast (something Russell didn't have). I think Thad now has a good supporting cast, but is missing "that guy."
The reports on Dre'Mont Jones might require an amendment of that comment to "outside of nose tackle." Even there, though, there are a couple of pretty good guys to rotate.