Connelly's numbers are usually pretty spot-on by the end of the season, when the sample size has increased. The projected ratings, however, are about as useful as the pre-seaon AP poll.
Devin Smith has work to do in adjusting to the pro game.....
.....as does every other rookie.
With all due respect to people who compile these stats (like Bill Connelly), and fellow 11wers who put time into forum posts like these, I'm pretty skeptical overall about these advanced stats in CFB. Case in point: if you spent any time on two of the bigger UM and MSU blogs this past week (MGoBlog and The Only Colors, respectively), those 2 fan bases have been using these stats to show how their team was actually better in that game two weekends ago. In other words it seems to me that you can find just about whatever your want with FEI, S&P+, and F/+.
Johnny mentioned in passing in the Dubcast a few weeks ago that he too was skeptical about using advanced stats in CFB because of the relatively small sample size - and honestly that has been one thing that I've thought a bit about too. Johnny - if you see this, would you mind sharing a bit more about your perspective on this?
Also, I guess I don't see the "predictive" value of these stats. Based on what I understand it seems like they provide a decent "snapshot" in time of how a team stacks up. But in terms of predicting games? Not buying it.
If Tate Forcier, Denard Robinson, and Devin Gardner were September Heismans, Sam McGuffie was an August Heisman. I remember there was an immense amount of hype for him before the season started in 2008.
I think Michigan wins this one, but man, M fans have been so cocky after shutting out three consecutive shitty offenses. Karma may dictate that Sparty wins this one.
And every other time DJ has written about Michigan.
There goes perpetually aggrieved DJ Byrnes again, pointing out facts about Michigan's football program that Michigan fans want to ignore.
I think that Harbaugh is actually preoccupied with a laser pointer that someone is pointing at the wall.
I loathe the term "Buckeye Nation." Absolutely hate it.
I have very little problem with the amount of money in college sports. There is demand for college football so they supply it. My cognitive dissonance comes from the safety concerns, mainly concussion-related. I sometimes feel guilty watching football because of it.
I'm confused by the sentiment that Jim Tressel was losing his edge toward the end of his tenure. In his last two seasons Ohio State went 23-3* and won the Rose and Sugar* Bowls. Urban Meyer's success at Ohio State has diminished that of Tressel's in the eyes of many fans, which is ironic because a large part of Meyer's success has been due to players Jim Tressel recruited.
Perpetually aggrieved Urban Meyer can't be content with recruiting Ohio and has to go after Michigan talent as well.
Yes I will be there. Sorry to hear you won't be there. If you're in Savanah next year I'll buy you a beer.
Calpoppy- will you be in Edmonton for Botany 2015 later in July?
Baylor is a good one. So is TCU.
My dad and I went to that game. I was 11. My dad was so angry we left just after Michigan State took the lead in the 4th quarter.
I have never seen him so mad before.