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Ten Weeks Of The Ohio State Effect: Points Scored and Total Yards

Matt Gutridge's picture
November 20, 2015 at 10:06pm
3 Comments

This miniseries will look at Ohio State's effect on its opponents through the first 10 weeks of the season. It's always interesting to see if there are any trends in Ohio State's play. Tonight we will look at the effect the Silver Bullets had on their opponent's total rushing yards and total passing yards gained. 

Below you will see what Ohio State's offense has done to opponents and their Points Allowed stats in 2015. The teams are listed in the order the Buckeyes played them.

Note:
Negative (-) numbers are good for Ohio State.
Positive (+) numbers are bad for Ohio State.

3 Things Opponent's Points Allowed Stats

  1. Ohio State had the largest scoring differences against Penn State (- 23.7) and Rutgers (- 19.8).
  2. The Buckeyes have put a hurting on their opponent's points allowed stats. Ohio State has scored more than the season average against 9 out of 10 teams. 
  3. If the average holds true you can expect Ohio State to score 11 more points than what an opponent typically allows.
     
OHIO STATE'S EFFECT ON OPPONENT'S POINTS ALLOWED STATS
TEAM AVG. BEFORE OHIO STATE POINTS OHIO STATE SCORED DIFFERENCE RANK BEFORE RANK AFTER
VIRGINIA TECH 20.2* 42 - 21.8    
HAWAI'I 20.0 38 - 18.0 62nd 88th
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 28.0 20 + 8.0 85th 75th
WESTERN MICHIGAN 33.3 38 - 4.7 108th 110th
INDIANA 32.0 34 - 2.0 97th 97th
MARYLAND 31.8 49 - 7.2 95th 103rd
PENN STATE 14.3 38 - 23.7 11th 20th
RUTGERS 29.2 49 - 19.8 84th 96th
MINNESOTA 23.9 28 - 4.1 49th 50th
ILLINOIS 21.7 28 - 6.3 33rd 34th
           
AVERAGE 25.4 36.4 - 11.0 69th 75th

*2014 Average

TD
 
THE OHIO STATE Effect WHEN COMPARING OPPONENT'S 2015 POINTS ALLOWED STATS
TEAM SEASON AVG. WITHOUT OHIO STATE POINTS OHIO STATE SCORED DIFFERENCE
VIRGINIA TECH 22.0 42 - 20.0
HAWAI'I 35.7 38 - 2.3
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 25.9 20 - 5.9
WESTERN MICHIGAN 26.9 38 - 11.1
INDIANA 38.6 34 + 4.6
MARYLAND 30.7 49 - 18.3
PENN STATE 15.4 38 - 22.6
RUTGERS 33.7 49 - 15.3
MINNESOTA 25.7 28 - 2.3
ILLINOIS 21.7 28 - 6.3
       
AVERAGE 27.6 36.4 - 8.8

Although Ohio State's offense is not scoring 44.8 points like it did last season the Buckeyes are still putting up a healthy 36.4 points per game. When you look at the point differential between points scored and points allowed the Buckeyes are right on track with last season.   

2014 // 2015 Comparing Points Scored To Points Allowed
YEAR POINTS SCORED PTS ALLOWED DIFFERENCE
2014 44.8 (5th) 22.0 (26th) + 22.8
2015 36.4 (28th) 13.8 (2nd) + 22.6

It is true that defense wins championships. However, you still need to score more points than the opposing team.

Below you will see what Ohio State's offense has done to opponents and their Total Yards Allowed stats in 2015. The teams are listed in the order the Buckeyes played them.

Note:
Negative (-) numbers are good for Ohio State.
Positive (+) numbers are bad for Ohio State.

3 Things Opponent's Total Yards Allowed Stats

  1. Ohio State had the largest difference against Penn State (- 153.3) and Illinois (- 98.1).
  2. The Buckeyes were on the positive side of total yards in 8 out of 10 games. 
  3. If the average holds true you can expect Ohio State to gain for 63.4 more total yards than their opponents usually allow. 

 

OHIO STATE'S EFFECT ON OPPONENT'S DEFENSIVE TOTAL YARDS  STATS
TEAM AVG. BEFORE OHIO STATE TOTAL YARDS OHIO STATE GAINED  DIFFERENCE RANK BEFORE RANK AFTER
VIRGINIA TECH 343.8* 572 - 228.2    
HAWAI'I 371.0 363 + 8.0 68th 64th
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 433.0 298 + 135.0 96th 75th
WESTERN MICHIGAN 413.0 511 - 98.0  93rd 96th
INDIANA 499.0 517 - 18.0 117th 118th
MARYLAND 449.4 499 - 49.6 109th 110th
PENN STATE 275.7 429 - 153.3 10th 16th
RUTGERS 447.3 528 - 80.7 105th 111th
MINNESOTA 324.6 376 - 51.4 25th 24th
ILLINOIS 341.9 440 - 98.1 31st 36th
           
AVERAGE 389.9 453.3 - 63.4 65th 65th

*2014 Average

Ohio State has gained over 500 yards of total offense in 4 games in 2015. For the season the Buckeyes are averaging 453.3 yards of total offense. In 2014 Ohio State averaged 511.6 yards per game. That is a difference of 58.3 yards. Both the rushing and passing yards have gone done in 2015, but the biggest drop has been in the passing game.

Will this drop in offensive productivity cost Ohio State a national title? Not if the defense continues to stifle opposing offenses.

Zeke
THE OHIO STATE Effect WHEN COMPARED TO OPPONENT'S 2015 DEFENSIVE TOTAL YARDS STATS
TEAM SEASON AVG. WITHOUT OHIO STATE TOTAL YARDS OHIO STATE GAINED DIFFERENCE
VIRGINIA TECH 310.6 572 - 261.4
HAWAI'I 458.6 363 + 95.6
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 390.4 298 + 92.4
WESTERN MICHIGAN 388.6 511 - 122.4
INDIANA 562.2 517 + 45.2
MARYLAND 385.6 499 - 113.4
PENN STATE 298.1 429 - 130.9
RUTGERS 439.9 528 - 88.1
MINNESOTA 344.8 376 - 31.2
ILLINOIS 341.9 440 - 98.1
       
AVERAGE 392.1 453.3 - 61.2

To this point, Ohio State's defense has held opposing offenses to 13.8 points per game. Six times this season the Silver Bullets have held opponents to double digits below their season points scored average. 

Defense wins championships. If the Buckeyes' continue to limit opponents to under 14 points per game a second title should belong to Ohio State.

This Week's Articles

Ten Weeks Of The Ohio State Effect: Defensive Rushing Yards and Defensive Passing Yards
Ten Weeks Of The Ohio State Effect: Defensive Total Points and Defensive Yards Allowed
The Rundown: No. 9 Michigan State at No. 3 Ohio State
The Series History: Michigan State

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