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Ohio State B1G Tourney scenarios

0 HS
I_Run_The_Dave's picture
March 6, 2014 at 9:32am

Games remaining:

Ohio State:  Vs MSU
Nebraska:    Vs Wisconsin
Iowa:        @  MSU, Vs Illinois

Scenarios:

Ohio State wins, Nebraska wins, Iowa loses to MSU, beats Illinois
Nebraska seeded 4th.
Wisconsin tied with MSU, Ohio State tied with Iowa.
Tiebreaker:  Wisconsin won only head to head with MSU
Wisconsin seeded 2nd, MSU seeded 3rd.
Tiebreaker:  Ohio State split head to head with Iowa (push)
             Ohio State 0-1 vs. UM, Iowa 1-1 vs. UM
Iowa seeded 5th, Ohio State seeded 6th.

Ohio State wins, Nebraska wins, Iowa loses both.
Nebraska seeded 4th, Ohio State seeded 5th, Iowa seeded 6th.
MSU tied with Wisconsin.
Tiebreaker:  Wisconsin won only head to head with MSU
Wisconsin seeded 2nd, MSU seeded 3rd.

Ohio State wins, Nebraska loses, Iowa loses to MSU, beats Illinois
Wisconsin seeded 2nd, MSU seeded 3rd.
Ohio State, Nebraska, Iowa all tie.
Tiebreaker:  Ohio State would be 2-2 vs. Iowa/Nebraska - seeded 5th
             Iowa would be 2-1 vs. Ohio State/Nebraska - seeded 4th
             Nebraska would be 1-2 vs. Ohio State/Iowa - seeded 6th

Ohio State wins, Nebraska loses, Iowa loses both
Wisconsin seeded 2nd, MSU seeded 3rd, Iowa seeded 6th
Ohio State tied with Nebraska.
Tiebreaker:  Ohio State split head to head with Nebraska (push)
             Ohio State 0-1 vs. UM, Nebraska 0-2 vs. UM
Ohio State seeded 4th, Nebraska seeded 5th.

All other scenarios involve Ohio State losing to MSU and would result in Ohio State being seeded 6th, even if Iowa loses both (Iowa wins tiebreaker based on 1-1 record vs. UM).

Ohio State ending up as a 6th seed is concerning, as PSU is likely to end up as the 11.  For obvious reasons, I don't want to end up playing them in the B1G tournament.  If we end up as the 5th seed, the only way PSU is the 12 seed is if Purdue beats NW, and PSU loses to both NW and Minnesota.  There are scenarios where if PSU wins out, they rise higher than the 10 seed (Indiana and Minnesota come into play at that point) so the bottom 6 seeds are really a toss up at this point, but 11 is the most likely seed for PSU.  If we end up as the 5 or even the 4, we won't have to play PSU, which is good for my peace of mind.

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