A poster on TOS started a thread debating who would start if Michigan and MSU were combined into one team. Since it's July and we haven't had a commit in roughly 2 weeks, I figured I'd pitch the idea over here to see what a Mich-Ohio team would look like. Ignore the differences in offenses, but consider things such as experience and leadership.
QB: Denard Robinson (M)
RB: Fitzgerald Touissant (M)
FB: Zach Boren (O)
WR: Roy Roundtree (M)
WR: Devin Smith/Michael Thomas (O)
TE: Jake Stoneburner (O)
LT: Taylor Lewan (M)
LG: Andrew Norwell (O)
C: Corey Linsley (O)
RG: Patrick Omameh (M)
RT: Jack Mewhort (O)
K: Drew Basil (O)
DE: John Simon (O)
DE: Craig Roh (M)
DT: Jonathan Hankins (O)
NT: Will Campbell (M)
LB: Jake Ryan (M)
LB: Kenny Demens (M)
LB: Ryan Shazier (O)
CB: Bradley Roby (O)
CB: Blake Countess (M)
S: C.J. Barnett/Christian Bryant (O)
S: Jordan Kovacs (M)
P: Will Hagerup/Matt Wile (M)







I think I just threw up in my mouth just a little bit.
-The Aristocrats!
LOL @713.
Also, Hail, Ernest Shazier?
Not one player you listed plays for Ohio. You're thinking of the team that bounced you in the first round.
Fan of bacon since 1981
Ignoring the differences in offenses is impossible.
But here is a difference of opinion that comes to mind immediately:
RB: Jordan Hall (OSU)-you said to include experience and leadership. He is a senior and is considered one of the offensive leaders of the Buckeyes. As far as talent and type of back, I consider them very similar.
"Michigan and "huge mistake" are synonymous"
-Mark Titus
Hail - I actually think your list is pretty good.
I keep waiting for someone to post something about how Braxton is the better choice at QB. I would agree that he has strong potential to be the better collegiate QB once his career is complete, but right now Denard is the proven QB and proven leader.
"Michigan and "huge mistake" are synonymous"
-Mark Titus
Will Campbell? I would put Michael Bennett there instead.
Also I question the decision for Touissant.... I think Hyde/Hall is pretty darn good too.
@Bass
Fixed. Ernest Shazor was a former safety at Michigan.
@Nappy
I don't refer to OSU as "Ohio" here. Not one Michigan fan in this world cares about last years' NCAA Tournament---we're just thrilled Burke is back for one more. If you noticed, I abbreviated Michigan to "Mich" added a hypen (as to combine and shorten the two into one word). Get over yourself.
@Donkey
This thread would be pointless if there were no differences in opinion. I considered Hall, but with his injury and Fitz' breakout "half-season," went that way.
You said ignoring the differences is impossible... Would you take Denard in Urban's offense and have Braxton run Michigan's?
Those who stay will be CHAMPIONS!
~Bo Schembechler
@ Donkeypunch,
Ask and ye shall receive: in The Game last year Miller actually outgained Robinson 352 to 348, while Robinson accounted for a combined 5 Tds to Miller's 3. That was at the end of a freshman year spent under the tutelage of the Walrus and the AV guy. If I'm starting a team, Miller is my QB.
I'm with J. Mo on Michael Bennett, granted he did come on strong late last year--so he's not completely proven. Though, Fitz is unquestionably the choice at RB, his numbers were stellar after his emergence, and his consistency through that half-season was more than Hall's ever been able to show, consistency-wise, over a similar period. Granted, Hall's just now stepping out of Boom's shadow, but I still like Fitz here.
Good list Hail, though it does speak to the wasted potential of last year's Buckeye squad. We're 50/50 with Wolverines here on this team, yet we lost five more games than they did. Bollman's playcalling and Fickell's game management are the two real culprits here, and it goes to show how valuable good coaching truly is.
Solid list, I agree with pretty much all the choices a couple debatable spots, but nicely done overall Hail.
Amen, Hodge...enter Greg Mattison to turn a cellar-dwelling defense into a top-30 unit. NT is definitely a huge question mark. If Will Campbell lived up to his potential, he'd be on an NFL roster right now. Pipkins could take over this year in his place, and just don't know Bennett all that well.
Those who stay will be CHAMPIONS!
~Bo Schembechler
@HAIL - Full disclosure, I don't know much of Campbell, either. So I guess, at least in my opinion, that's the only "debatable" position on this roster. My money says you'll see a similar, phoenix-like rise from our offense this year under Meyer and Herman's tutelage.
@ Hodge
I agree that Fitz had better (half) season then Hall has ever had, my point is that he had the benefit of a much better play caller and absolutely no competition taking carries away outside of Denard. I think their strengths and weaknesses are very similar. I believe Hall's experience and leadership trump Fitz's good half season considering all circumstances.
"Michigan and "huge mistake" are synonymous"
-Mark Titus
Can I take Braxton at QB and Denard at RB?
@Rdubs
Yeah. Most of the Spartys were sticking him at WR. In three months, Devin Gardner may be taking one of the receiver spots, as well.
Fair enough, Donkeypunch. With that said Vincent Smith and Michael Shaw were the incumbant running back by committee (top backs under RichRod) and since Denard carried the ball more than Fitz or any other RB, it's an approriate comparison to include Denard. This year, however, it will be Thomas Rawls (and Vincent Smith in 3rd down situations) taking some carries away from Touissant. I do think Denard's load is lightened considerably, though.
Those who stay will be CHAMPIONS!
~Bo Schembechler
Seeing as to how this is an OSU site and I am an avid OSU fan I do not know a thing about any ttun players other than Desmond Howard and Charles Woodson. Both won heismans and are still in sight. Not trying to rain on anyones parade and definitely do not want to get any Bucks fan upset that has a boyfriend/girlfriend that is a ttun fan/student/alum flaming me. But the thought of such a team is not pleasant and still do not get talking about ttun here. Before anyone starts saying how welcome ttun fans are and the entire deal I am just stating my opinion. If any are fans of other teams shouldn't they be talking about that team on sites dedicted to that team? Again don't want a war for all the lovers, just don't get it, ala Pam said so gracefully a week or so ago.
Ill say it, I would take Braxton for the same reason you took Fritz over Hall. Braxton played better than Denard over the same stretch of games with less talent, less coaching, less experiance. To be fair, let's take the last 6 games and compare. This best represents and "second half breakout season" credit given to Friz over Hall. Fair enough?
Denard (Purdue ,Iowa, Illi, Neb, OSU, VT)
Miller (Wisc, Ind, Pur, Penn, UM, FL)
Competition is fairly even enough, agreed?
--------
Denard - 920 yards passing, 9 TD's, 5 INT's
Miller - 756 yards passing, 8 TD's, 2 INT's
Denard has more yards, an extra TD, but two more INT's. I for one believe INT's are killers for a team and think that these data points make the passing a tie if not in favor of Braxton.
--------
Denard - 414 yards rushing, 7 TD's, 1 Fumble
Miller - 472 yards rushing, 7 TD's,0 Fumble
Winner, Miller obviously.
---------
IMO, given that it was his Freshman year, terrible offense coord, and less talent around him I would take Braxton this year over Denard. Denard can wow, but he can also be a liability. 15 INT's for Denard last year.
FYI, I'd take Fitz over Hall at RB.
@Lou: I think people understand where you are coming from, but since ttun are our rivals I (along with many others) probably know them better than any team not wearing Scarlet and Gray. Additionally, discussing them seems obvious since we probably compare ourselves to them more than any other team, rivalry breeds obsession. And if the topic doesn't suit you, there are probably some others that you can visit instead (like the one about how awesome it would be if we get Hand, McMillan, and Glass; or the one about how awesome Burrows and Woodard are). There are some topics on here that I avoid, but if others want to discuss, I have no problem with that. I just enjoy ridiculous hypotheticals, so this thread is fun for me to follow. To each their own...
@HAIL and anyone else who wants this bet...
Brax will put up better PASSING numbers in every category than shoepaste or whatever clever name they have for him up there.
Dude is a glorified running back and anyone who thinks for one moment he resembles anything close to a qb must be best friend with Sic.
So there it is...all passing categories: Yds, comp %, YPA, TD, INT (least), passer efficiency rating.
Brax will be better in every category
I wouldn't take fitz over and of our rbs let alone as the Allstar team starter
Nicholas l Ernst
Carolina - Brax certainly has a better ceiling and I wouldn't be shocked if your prediction comes true, I just don't see it being likely given our lack of proven playmakers. We can have Urban's offense and playcalling, but without the right personnel in place it will be hard for Braxton to have huge numbers. That being said, if players like Philly and Thomas step up and take the pressure off Braxton to run, then things might be different. The way I see it is that this is the year we implement and get comfortable with the offensive changes and get the right personnel in place...next year and beyond is when we begin to dominate.
Hail - If Gardner plays WR this year, do you expect him to return to QB next season or remain @ WR if it goes well there?
Sophmore in a new system, Senior in a similar system....
I don't know. I mean, Meyer is a running coach. I can see their passing stats being even. Hate him or love him, Denard is a bonafide Heisman candidate (The front runner at the start of the year IMHO). Brax is a superstar waiting in the wings who will break out this year and be a total monster next season. I could see Robinson hoisting the trophy this year (Though his eventual loss to OSU will hurt said chances).
4-6 seconds from point A to point B and when you get to point B, be pissed off
@ Carolina,
I agree that Braxton could likely have better passing numbers when its all said and done at the end of this year, however I believe that coaching and offensive strategy play into that big time. If Denard were in Columbus and Braxton up there (terrible thoughts, I apologize for that) I believe Denard would have the better numbers. My point is that Denard is more experienced and is more of a leader (at least to the outside world). Braxton has the higher ceiling, I think Michigan fans would even agree. Just my thoughts.
@ Steensn
I understand your point with Braxton. Couldn't you also give Hall the benefit of the doubt when it comes to the coaching and playing time. Fitz only played half a season, but had considerably more carries than Hall did (186 vs 100).
@Lougroza
I totally understand, the offseason makes us lose our mind. I think many of us wouldn't be involved in a conversation like this during the season.
"Michigan and "huge mistake" are synonymous"
-Mark Titus
I haven't really heard much buzz about Denard and the Heisman. He's certainly a candidate, though unless his stats are unbelievable, I don't see him winning it. Most of the noise I've heard has been about Matt Barkley.
Forgive me. Denard is at best the second best Heisman candidate out there. Matt Barkely is clearly the front runner. His name escaped my memory.
4-6 seconds from point A to point B and when you get to point B, be pissed off
@Carolina...I think you're my favorite poster on here, lately
I don't bet on anything I don't have the capability of changing the outcome. If you want to play poker, I'll play you 'til the sun comes up.
Anyway, if I were to bet, I'd bet Denard's Sophomore year vs Braxton's Sophmore year all day long. It would be expected that Braxton could throw for more yards, more yards per attempt and have fewer INTs. I don't think he'd sweep the passing category as a whole. These numbers came in a spread offense with similar talent (Roy roundtree was his top receiver). Those total stats are just plain sick, and Braxton won't acheive those types of numbers (and he's a rushing QB in a spread offense, also). BTW, in the thread about Miller and Robinson, I said Braxton is a better QB, just not a better player.
Passing
G Att Comp Pct. Yards Yards/Att TD Int Rating Att/G Yards/G
13 291 182 62.5 2570 8.8 18 11 149.58 22.4 197.7
Rushing
G Att Yards Avg. TD Att/G Yards/G
13 256 1702 6.65 14 19.69 130.92
Total Offense
G Rush Yards Pass Yards Plays Total Yards Yards/Play Yards/G
13 1702 2570 547 4272 7.8 328.6
Those who stay will be CHAMPIONS!
~Bo Schembechler
Kind of agree with you Hail. Braxton will be a better QB, but Denard is a better athlete(though not by much). Either way both are very dynamic players who have had(Denard) and will have(Braxton) great success and huge numbers.
I'd take Jordan Hall OR Carlos Hyde instead of Fitz....
@HAIL - One point of contention about Denard's sophomore year. His system--though similar in formation to Meyer's--was very much a "tailored" offense (I hate the term "gimmick"), thereby making his stats more reminiscient of Case Kennum's passing numbers; clearly the mark of a truly gifted individual, but also the mark of a tailored (read: "Airraid") offense exclusively featuring a great talent.
Braxton will not replicate those numbers, simply because his system is a spread to run--where the ball is spread evenly across multiple backs. Granted, Robinson didn't really have that luxury (due in large part to ill-equipped or underperforming personnel), but he was the entirety of the Wolverines' offense that year. In Chris Brown's The Essential Smart Football, he details Borges' "West Coast" scheme, and sums up Robinson's utilization under Rodriguez perfectly: a do-it-all runner/passer, the likes of which had last been seen during the heyday of the single wing back in the '40s.
That's not a bad offense for a guy like Shoelace, though. Les Horvath gave us our first Heisman trophy doing the exact same thing.
OhioThomas-
I'm sorry, but anyone who would take Carlos Hyde instead of Fitz is an enormous homer.
@ Hail
I was just busting your balls. I don't really care what you call Ohio State. But I cant really think of one player off the top of my head that I'd replace on OSU with a player from Michigan. Shoelace included.
Fan of bacon since 1981
This whole thread is stupid.
@HAIL...
I'm not arguing against Denard being a good football player. I do truly hate the guy, which is a true sign that he is doing something right.
Bottom line, the guy is a fierce competitor and a fierce football player that leaves it all out on the field and I can't take ANY of that away from him.
The same argument you use for experience though is the same one that is going to bite Denard in the butt. As a passer goes, he has reached his ceiling. His mechanics are poor, his accuracy is inconsistent at best and his decision making has not faired much better with experience. His athleticism and never say die attitude is what allowed you guys to win games last year
Some QBs do turn the corner and make vast improvements YOY but ones with the experience Denard has, you usually know what you're getting by your senior year.
For the most part, I agree with most of your points about Braxton but I am going to say that for Braxton, the learning curve for Urban's offense is a lot less than many believe. Former BGSU QB Josh Harris (he who put up 400+ yds passing in the shoe) came out point blank and said if he could master Urban's offense in 1 off-season, Braxton will have no problem.
Couple that with the fact that Urban is out to prove something this year, there aren't going to be games of yore where we go up by 2 scores and take our foot of the pedal. I don't have the numbers nor do I know where to find them but I would be interested to see the number of snaps each QB took last year. I would venture to say Denard was the beneficiary of a greater amount of snaps than Brax. Braxton will get more snaps in the Miami of Ohio game, than he did in the first 4 games of last season combined. The sheer increase in snaps he will take this season would be enough alone to put him in position to surpass Denard's numbers w/o making any marked improvement in skill from last year.
Braxton doesn't come without shortcomings though, he needs to improve his accuracy, timing and relationship with receivers (damn you Stoney, JHall) and like you and others have pointed out, truly master the offense. It wont' come without hiccups but I think that his shortcomings last season were much more a result of two completely inept coaches and less because of his inability as a true passer
@Hail: i'm pretty new to the site but i've noticed your posts and you do a pretty good job of giving us some other view points without going over the top or getting too mad at the trolls on here so props to you. As for the list I would replace shoelace with Braxton but thats just my opinion. IMO I think Braxtons passing game is superrior and his running game is definitley on par with Denards plus I think he has a higher ceiling. As for RB anyone that says Hyde or Hall should be in over Toussaint is a homer. Hyde has pretty good quicks for a big guy and Hall is a homerun threat but neither is very consistant and i can only think of a very few plays where either has wowed me. Watching a few TSUN games last year i was really impressed with Fitz. He scares me a hell of a lot more than anyone else on TSUN's offense. Keep up the good work.
I pretty much agree with the list. I'll take Denard over Braxton at the moment, but that is subject to change as this coming season unfolds. Braxton could definitely become a better QB than Denard in the future. This is also a pretty fair team as far as the allocation of OSU/UM players go. I'd put this team up against anybody in CFB.
Class of 2010.
@Tenn
Way too many "What ifs" with Gardner to really say for sure. He is our #2 QB, hands down, and will be our QB next year (as of now). Nobody except the staff and Gardner really know how much WR he'll play; if any. If he's granted a medical redshirt and is here in 2014, Morris will be here with a year under his belt. You can see where this could get messy, so we'll leave it at that.
@8BUXCP
Thanks. I promise I won't make threads like this, come September. I probably won't comment much at all, to be honest. IMO, there's a big difference between missing out on a recruit vs losing a game. Things will probably get a little too chippy around here if people try to objectionally discuss a Michigan loss or if I were to discuss an OSU loss...maybe not, we'll see.
Sorry to those who think this thread is disgusting or stupid. Like Donkeypunch said, we wont see many hypothetical threads in 7 weeks. Thank God it's only 7 weeks. And thank God my fantasy football draft is just around the corner.
Those who stay will be CHAMPIONS!
~Bo Schembechler
Most of you guys were alive during the Ohio State/Michigan, Cooper years but really couldn't have been old enough to appreciate the significance of having a couple undefeated teams have their hopes dashed for a National Championship by a Michigan team. So you really can't understand just how offensive it is to see Buckeye and Wolverine teams being put together. You haven't really seen the depths of hatred for Michigan yet. Rest assured, that team up north will be ticking us off again real soon. So before you go getting upset with the guys who don't like this post, please realize some of us lived through those god awful years and had to endure Michigan's arrogance!
That being said, I'm ashamed to say that I have an uncle who went to Ohio State, who's an idiot by the way, who married a woman who went to Michigan. They have a son, who's also an idiot, who roots for Michigan and is always mouthing off about said Piss and Blue. I know, it's shameful and I no longer wish to hide in the shame. So I'm coming out of the closet and admitting my blood is not pure Scarlet and Gray. Yes friend, I am a mudblood....Oh the shame..
I'm unfamiliar with the TOS blog, could someone link it please?
At the end of last year Braxton was already better than Denard. Compare their stats of the second half (last six games). Braxton protected tha ball much better, ran for more yards, ran for the same number of TDs, an passed for only slightly less yards. All in a horrible offense that never passed.
Put him in a real offense- not even the Urban explosion we all expect but just a normal offense- and he is already better than Denard. Denard is an exciting, explosive athlete, but he reached his ceiling a long time ago. Braxton has also reached Denard's ceiling. Braxton will have a much better season, and career, than Denard.
CPLUNK
The only argument I need is that Denard was 5-1 in his last 6 games, and Braxton was 2-4 in his last 6 games. All other stats are pretty even.
However, Toussaint emerged in the purdue game, game 8, when your argument begins. He had 125 carries for 708 yards and 6TDs. This took a lot of the load off of Denard.
Herron had 112 carries for 564 yards and 2 TDs
Braxton accounted for 1228 total yards with 15 TDs on 79 carries 106 pass attempts; 185 total touches
Denard accounted for 1334 total yards and 16 TDs on 101 carries with 96 pass attempts; 197 total touches; Denard also played just over 1 half of the Illinois game.
Braxton clearly has the better upside, with 3 years left, but will he account for 8160 total yards and 75 TDs in his first three years? Braxton had 1874 total yards and 20 TDs in his freshmen year, whereas Denard had 539 total yards and 7 total TDs as he played backup to Tate Forcier and never learned the offense.
We won't know who is better until Braxton is done at OSU. Even then, how do you quantify what a player means to his team? W/L, TDs, Yards?
Those who stay will be CHAMPIONS!
~Bo Schembechler
@HAIL
You started the Brax/Denard argument based on stats and when we have shown that with no experience, no coaching, and an offensive scheme that would have rather given the ball to the other team Braxton's stats as a true freshman were only slightly behind those of Robinson.
So now it comes down to, how do we measure the true impact of a player?
Look HAIL, we've all taken a look at your list, thrown up in our mouth a little, and then swallowed it and played along. We aren't all on here saying that no TTUN player deserves to be on this list.
However, dancing in circles and trying to justify why a glorified running back is going to somehow be better than Braxton really makes me question your knowledge on college football. We ask posters here not to wear the scarlet and gray glasses and be objective....those same requests apply to piss and blue
I wouldn't agree that Braxton is on par with Denard's running ability. While I think Braxton is a very good running QB, I'm not sure how much success he would see in a RB or WR role. Denard has the potential to succeed in both the RB and WR roles, although injuries could be a problem with the constant abuse RB's receive. Braxton has the potential to be a much better QB than Denard, but I'm not so sure he has the ability to be a better runner. Just my opinion.
"Michigan and "huge mistake" are synonymous"
-Mark Titus
Carolina - The point of this silly list was to build a team based on RIGHT NOW, not what we THINK will happen. Noone in their right mind doesn't acknowledge that Braxton will be a better QB based on potential but Denard, while not a true QB, has excelled and has 2 years more experience. We are all assuming that Braxton will excel in the offense. And while that is likely going to be the case, there is no shame in saying that based on all other factors, RIGHT NOW Denard would be better choice. We know what we get with Denard, we don't know yet what we will get with Braxton.
Look at my previous post on this page. I would put them both on the field with Brax at QB and Denard at RB. That ends all this debate about who is better and you could have some awesome trick plays because Denard is a good enough thrower to take advantage of an over pursuing defense.
Well, Carolina, I don't claim to be an expert on college football, by any means. All I'm doing is looking at stats (quantitative evidence), in which Denard has better numbers---as he should being a Junior. From a qualitative perspective, Denard has meant much more to the Michigan teams he has quaterbacked for Michigan than Braxton probably will; which isn't really a good thing.
I have said on this thread and others, that Braxton is going to be a better QB than Denard. I just don't think he's there right now. But, I'm also questioning if that matters if Denard is more productive than Braxton. To me, production is measured in victories and impact team scoring ability.
So, if Braxton comes out next year and throws for 3000 yards, rushes for 1000 yards, but OSU is 8-4, and Denard throws for 2500 and rushes for 700, but UofM goes 10-2. Who is the better QB?
Those who stay will be CHAMPIONS!
~Bo Schembechler
@CINCYOSU
RIGHT NOW Braxton is a better QB. Compare the last half of last year (final six games). Braxton was in a horrible offense and still put up better stats, both running and passing, than Denard.
RUSHING (Miller: 472 yards and 7 TDs, 0 fumbles; Denard: 414 yards, 7 TDs, 1 fumble)
PASSING (Miller: 756 yards, 8 TDs, 2 INT; Denard: 920 yards, 9 TDs, 5 INTS)
You can argue the passing if you want, but I'd take less yards and 3 fewer INTs any day. Turnovers are killer.
@HAIL
Your point on career is well taken. I think Braxton is better, but talent doesnt always equate to performance in the long run. Don't agree with the comparison based on team records though. QBs are by no means the sole decider of record. Replace Fickell's offense last year with Hoke and his offense last year (and vice versa) and I guarantee Braxton decimates Denard's numbers and wins more games.
CPLUNK - You're wrong, and most objective OSU fans will agree. The mark of a good QB is leadership and WINS....Denard is the clear team leader and has more wins. Braxton has yet to develop into the leader we need him to be. Your "guarantees" have no way to be proven and are only a biased opinion. We have to deal with what we KNOW.
***I am NOT saying Braxton will not be better as I fully believe we will see Braxton begin to grow up this year and blossom into a start next year, but basing this off of results and experience as of now, most ppl with football knowledge would take the known(Denard) over the unknown(Braxton).
Compared to Denard's 2010 season. Robinson regressed in almost every major passing category, you know, quantitative evidence.
He threw for less yards, he completed a lower % of passes, yards per attempt was down, his interceptions went up, sacks went up, and PER went down.
Quantitatively speaking, I would not project better numbers for a QB that regressed YOY in every major passing category.
If we project Braxton's stats over a full 2011 season, they would look something like this:
Miller (projected):
1,900 yds, 54% comp, 7.4 ypa, 18 tds, 6 ints, 138.4 PER
Robinson (actual):
2,173 yds, 55% comp, 8.4 ypa, 20 tds, 15 ints, 139.7 PER
When you think about the offense that he played in and coaching that he didn't have, he was on pace to have a statistical similar season to Denard Robinson, as a freshman.
I am not here to say Urban's offense is going to make Braxton an all-star but I am here to say look at some of the numbers that Urban's QBs and Tom Herman's QBs have put up. Both Urban and Herman are FAR BETTER QB coaches than Bollman or Sic.
Better offense, better coaching, a year of experience under his belt v. a "qb" who regressed YOY in every major statistical passing category??
Give me Braxton NOW, give me Braxton in the FUTURE. Braxton Miller is a better QB period.
@CINCYOSU
We'll have to agree to disagree.
What we KNOW is that Braxton put up equal numbers in an offense that was statistically a shambles.
What we also KNOW is that football involves a minimum of 24 players per team on the field, playing the specific plays called by a coaching staff. One player does not determine wins.
I think those two things add up to Braxton being better than Denard. You don't. We'll just have to disagree. I think most objective non-OSU fans would agree with me. You don't. That's fine.
CincyOSU - I don't know about that. I agree with leadership being an important trait but a QB only controls the offense, not the defense. Our offensive line was poor last year. You can't blame that on BM. The offense wasn't run by BM, he was just running play action on 3rd and 13 like Bollman commanded. I think it is very hard to evaluate BM and compare him to DR based off what we saw last year. So much was broken in that offense. Because of his youth and inexperience, OSU appeared to be calling plays not to lose. I'd take the BM I saw at the spring game, even though he was not able to run the ball over DR. I don't think wins are the only things that determine whether you are a good QB because there is so much more that goes into a win than just the QB's play.
I don't always take names when I kick ass but when I do, they most often belong to a Wolverine.
Hail: your argument concerning cumulative past stats is irrefutable; and even if we look at only the last six games of last year - as CPlunk suggests above - DR was 5-1 and BM was 2-4, so you have that argument as well.
But I think the question is which QB will be better in 2012. DR's past stats are definitely in his favor as a predictive tool, but they won't mean anything between the lines this year.
The way I see it: assuming both stay healthy, BM has the more complete package compared to DR. Because he has more upside in the passing game in particular, BM has the potential to put up ridiculously efficient dual threat numbers. In contrast, DR's passing "highside" is more constrained, but we can also reliably expect him to produce great numbers overall (i.e., he his "lowside" isn't as low as BM's). DR figures to once again rush for 1,000+ yds and throw for over 2,000 yds; I see him again finishing about 70th in passing yards, 40th in rushing, and 40th in total offense.
If these two players were stocks in the stock market, the DR stock would be the safer play, while the BM stock would have greater potential to yield very high returns.
@FIDO
I disagree that his cumulative past stats are irrefutable. Robinson regressed YOY from 2010 to 2011. I for one, would not be tooting the horn of a QB who regressed as much as Robinson did in 2011.
This debate turned into who is the better QB, not who is the better leader. The bottom line is, Robinson regressed in every category.
Every game that tOSU lost last year was by a TD or less (sans Miami), with an ass backwards offense that was designed to give the ball to the other time in the shortest amount of time.
Denard Robinson is not a better QB and if he is, tOSU is in a lot of trouble these next 3 years. JT Barrett better be the real deal.
Part of it is, which player has more targets in the passing game?
TE: UM basically has no TE, OSU has Stoney, advantage OSU.
WR: UM has Roundtree, he's atleast proven at times he can be effective, advantage UM
WR: OSU's secondary, tertiary, etc. receivers are far more encouraging than the handful of incongruous slot guys UM has behind Roundtree, advantage OSU.
RB: When Hall is healthy, he'll be a threat catching passes out of the backfield and out of the pivot role, Toussaint is a tradtional RB, advantage OSU.
Support Overall: Advantage OSU
@FIDO - To be totally fair, a lot of us are judging Robinson by his previous performance, and not factoring any improvement to his passing this offseason (which we are all quick to grant to Brax). Let's be honest, if D-Rob can fully grasp Borges's system (quick timing passes a la Bill Walsh) and rely less on his patented jump-balls (which he should, see previous parenthetical reference), the kid will win Heisman. There's no more electrifying player in college football right now. Now, I hope to God this doesn't happen (or at least that Ohio State can contain him), but it just seems that we're not willing to afford Denard the same luxury we have been with Braxton. Remember, two years ago he completed 62% of his passes. His regression last season could easily be explained by the lack of offensive identity (similar to what Brax faced here under the Walrus), I have a feeling they're both going to tear it up this season.
Can someone do this all star team for Minnesota and Indiana?
Hodge - good point, but I won't be convinced until I see it from DR. First, DR is, what, about 5'11? (I don't mean his height as listed in the program, but his height in the real world). He weighs about 175 lbs (again, I don't believe the program). This partly explains why he has to run around and throw up jumpballs all the time.
The other reason is that he has yet to show that he has that rare quality enjoyed only by elite QBs - for lack of a better term, I'll call it "eyes in the back of one's head" and/or "field vision." It's true that it takes lots of time, instruction, repition, etc. before most top-level passing QBs can develop a true understanding of the passing game, progressions, timing, how and where to deliver the ball under different situations, etc.
But time/repitition is a necessary but insufficient ingredient: I could play NCAA 2012 for eight hours a day for the next 10 months and still my absent-minded, clueless ass couldn't find a secondary, let alone tertiary, receiver in a passing play "progression" to save my ass - and I'd just be playing a video game with no worries about 315 lb linemen trying to crash my ass.
Not only is there no guarantee that DR will develop these attributes; if he hasn't already shown signs of them, it's unlikely he will ever develop such attributes. And, if anything, all of DR's past gaudy running stats only underline the point that the dude has been around for like six years now and if it ain't happened before, Al Borges probably ain't gonna pry it out of him this year, either. I'm not ruling it out; but I won't hold my breath waiting for the light to go on for DR, either.
Whereas we already know that Braxton has "it."
@FIDO - I guess I look at a lot of his runs being because of the fact that he's had hardly any line to defend him. Outside of David Molk, D-Rob had no one giving him time to throw, and a young dual-threat QB will always tuck-and-run before going through a progression (and I'd have personally rather seen Brax do this more often, rather than trying to find recievers downfield--granted, this is also due to poor playcalling), it's what Troy Smith did a lot of in '04. Speaking of Smith, he too was undersized (6'0, but more solid than Denard). Not to mention his performance against us last year echoed that of our old signal-caller (14/17, 167 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT, 170 yards rushing). Now, I'm not saying Denard is Troy Smith, but I just cannot accept that Denard will not improve his passing this season--especially since it's been such a glaring weakness of his.
My prediction is that he runs less, as Fitz shares the load with him; his O-line improves, giving him more time to throw; his passing improves his completion percentage to 60-65%, and he'll be throwing a lot less jump balls; he'll throw less interceptions, but still more than Miller; and he'll pass for ~2700 yards.
Miller will run more, but he'll have less yards per carry than Denard (Denard will break bigger runs more consistently, whereas Brax will be running lots of designed plays); he will have more rushing TDs than Denard, and the two will have similar passing TDs; he'll throw less interceptions, and have a completion percentage between 62-65%, and will throw for ~2500 yards.
My point is that Braxton has the greater potential (he'll be the equivalent passer of a senior Denard this year), but Denard's the superior "big play" threat right now. I do think that they're cut from an eerily similar cloth, though. Considering that Braxton's big play rush ability is superior to both Smith and Pryor.
@Fido...2 great posts and I think I agree with 95% of them. You didn't come out and say it, but I will. Denard isn't the most intelligent football mind on the field and that separates him from most QBs who do. He gets into panic mode and makes poor decisions, more often than not. These hold him back from being an elite QB; it's definitely not ability, although a few extra inches in height would allow him to see the field better.
If I was recruiting Denard and Braxton out of high school right now (if they were in the same class), I'd take Braxton, in either offense.
@Carolina
First of all, when comparing the two, you can't just pick out passing stats. You wouldn't say Tebow, Pat White or Tommy Frazier were elite passers, but they were elite college QBs, right? Secondly, the 2010 and 2011 seasons were so different at Michigan, your argument holds little weight.
In 2011, he had to learn a brand new offense. Under RichRod, Denard was under center in maybe 1% of the plays and the rest in shotgun. He wasn't comfortable dropping back in Borges' offense, and it wasn't until half way through the season when coaches started letting Denard be Denard that his productivity shot up a lot. RichRod's offense consisted of short routes and bubble screens (easy completions) with the speedy receivers doing most of the work. This accounts for an higher completion percentage and fewer interceptions in 2010. @Hodge touched on these points as well, and without watching the majority of Michigan's games in 2010 and 2011, it may not hit home.
And the most important stat, TD passes, went up, which isn't a regression at all.
Anyway, there was already a thread on Denard vs Miller. I think we've established that some of us would take Denard and others would take Miller. Moving on...
Those who stay will be CHAMPIONS!
~Bo Schembechler
@Hodge
spot on except I think Denard will have more rushing TDs. As much as everyone says the offense isn't centered around Denard, it still is, and it seems like Denard always gets a shot at two at the endzone whenever we're close.
Those who stay will be CHAMPIONS!
~Bo Schembechler
Down one score, who do you want as your QB? Me, Denard at this point. Why? Braxton missed a lot of open throw against tsun or we would've beaten them. Many were easy throws, too. Denard is the better athlete, has more ability to break tackles, and seems to throw a good lob ball (that is a negative with sarcasm but it still works somehow). There is a reason he is the #5 ranked nfl receiver and has never plaed the position. Braxton may be a better qb eventually, but I'd think I was handicapping myself if I took him over Denard at this point to qb my team.
"He wasn't comfortable dropping back in Borges' offense, and it wasn't until half way through the season when coaches started letting Denard be Denard that his productivity shot up a lot."
If we go back to the stats, quantitatively speaking you have no idea what you are talking about.
In the first 6 games of the 2011 season, Denard Robinson put up better numbers than he did in the second half of the season.
In the first 6 games he threw for:
1,130 yds, completed 57.6% of his passes, threw 10 TDs
He also rushed for:
720 yds and 8 TDs
In the last 6 games of the year, he threw for:
1,043 yds, 58.3 comp %, 10 TDs
He rushed for:
456 yds and 8 TDs
So his season split is pretty identical, he was actually more productive in the first half of the year than the second half of the year. So his productivity never really "shot up a lot" once he got comfortable with the offense.
As far as being more than a passer to be a complete QB. If you want to look at rushing stats Denard was the better runner but also had 64 more carries than Braxton. So I suppose if you want to count designed running plays at the tune of 65 more opportunities making Denard a better QB then have a field day buddy.
This is my last go at a reasonable explanation, Carolina. I should just leave it, since Hodge, Fido, Tenn, etc. at least understand an opposing viewpoint.
Stats are a measuring stick, for sure, but only go so far. The first half of the season was against Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan, SDSU, Minnesota, Northwestern and ND. His best two statistical games, ND and NW, were also the worst two games, statisically. He threw jump ball after jump ball in ND, couldn't move the offense at all until the 4th quarter, ran in a fumbled snap/broken play for a TD, and was aided by a miracle 77 yd blown coverage play to pad his stats. While he threw for over 300 yards in that game and the NW game and threw for 6 touchdowns between the two, he also threw 6 INTs.
MSU, Purdue, Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, OSU, VaTech to close out the year. In order to maintain the same numbers agains MUCH tougher competition he had to play better. His two best games, bar none, were versus Nebraska and OSU, even though he threw for less than 200 yards in both games, he threw for 5 passingTDs and 1 Int.
You can argue that his numbers are slightly better because we played Purdue and Illinois instead of Wisconsin and PSU, but he had 0 TDs and 2 INTs in the PUR and ILL games.
In order to look solely at stats, we would have to play the exact same teams and the exact same place, at the exact same time, under the same conditions, and players would all have to be healthy and maintain the exact same diet and routine before the game. This will never be 100%, so you can't rely on stats 100%.
Those who stay will be CHAMPIONS!
~Bo Schembechler
@Hail, I don't necessarily agree with you or disagree with you, but that argument is the exact reason why everyone's viewpoint should be accepted.
Your argument of different result trends against different levels of competition show that there are confounding factors, to the point where there is no way to know for sure. Braxton didn't start in the beginning, he played in a bad offense, behind a bad line, and what have you. Denard played different against different competition, but stepped up when it matters.
Theres no way to quantify those things, so instead of people being stubborn and refusing to accept other people's views, try and understand that there's no way to truly be 100% correct here, analytically speaking.
@TOSUMAN
Two of Braxton's first season of games were last minute heroic efforts by him personally (Wisconsin and Purdue- where the kicking game let us down on what would otherwsie have been a second last second win). You sure one game, one drive you want Denard? Braxton has already proved he can get it done at the same level, and I've seen Denard chuck up way too many deep-ball-prayers where he was bailed out by the quality of his receivers.
I'd take Braxton over Denard for that last minute drive.
There is no doubt whatsoever that Denard is more explosive, a better athlete, and has accomplished quite a bit. I'd still take Braxton for that drive.
For me, I would take Denard at QB right now over Braxton, and that's not a knock on Braxton. Braxton has all the tools to be a special player for OSU. But for now, Denard is the more 'proven commodity,' if you will. We can all criticize how his style of play or his skill-set or whatever, but Denard is a playmaker. Quite frankly, when he's got the ball in his hands you never know what's gonna happen. I for one will be happy when he is no longer taking snaps in Ann Arbor.
@CPLUNK - Devier Posey might beg to differ...remember Miller did overthrow him for what would have been the go-ahead score against Michigan. Truth is, I'd be happy to have either right now, but Miller definitely would be my pick going forward as he progresses, though Robinson is the better current choice. I think Miller has the ability to eclipse Troy Smith, being that I believe he can couple Smith's deadeye passing to Robinson's truly gamebreaking ground attack (just my personal opinion). He'll be giving Mattison sweats.
Braxton's like SkyNet, this season he's going to become self-aware.
Hail: thanks for the compliment, which I will return. You regularly make excellent comments, which is why it is nice to have you, M Man, and MichBred here to provide fresh and different perspectives.
Obviously, I've never had a chance to rap with DR and actually I haven't even heard him give an extended, in-depth interview. You might be right, but I have no reason to question his football mind. I'll give him the benefit of doubt if for no other reason than to defend myself - because if you put my brain in DR, his tendency to look lost and panic on the field would be multiplied by about 100 times! (And I like to think of myself as reasonably intelligent).
Yes, "football intelligence" comes into play, but maybe we tend to overinterpret "dumb QB play" as a lack of football smarts, etc. For example, it seems like there are a range of factors/attributes that go into what we think of as "QB vision" and "QB smarts":
There's probably 3-4 other factors I didn't even think of. We occasionally see DR "play dumb" on the field, but then Ryan Fitzpatrick so far has had an NFL career 68 TD/65 INT ratio and 75.0 QB rating.
Makes sense. A lot of feedback I heard from the media regarding Denard is that he wasn't able to simply go through the motions [with all of the changes the new offense brought along]. With more reps and practice, those things become second nature. It's like learning to throw a curveball.
You have to look at your hand on the ball to set the grip, you slow down your motion to adjust for position and delivery, you emphasize a "snapping" of the wrist, and change your velocity. Once you'ver learned the pitch, you grip the ball behind your back. Your pitching motion is the same as any other pitch, and what seemed like a 6-step process becomes a fluid motion.
This is why we saw such a big jump in productivity from '09 to '10. Once the basic skills of the offense were learned, his abilities shot him way past Tate and into the starting spot. I'm hoping lightning strikes twice for Denard, as this year feels so much like it did going into the 2010 season.
Those who stay will be CHAMPIONS!
~Bo Schembechler
@HAIL,
I'm really not trying to argue with you but when I brought up the qualitative aspects of why Braxton would be my pick, you said...
"Well, Carolina, I don't claim to be an expert on college football, by any means. All I'm doing is looking at stats (quantitative evidence), in which Denard has better numbers---as he should being a Junior. From a qualitative perspective, Denard has meant much more to the Michigan teams he has quaterbacked for Michigan than Braxton probably will; which isn't really a good thing."
So you refuted my claims because statistically, or quantitatively, Denard is the better QB.
Then when you make claims such as, his production went up a lot in the second half of the year, I take a look at the quantitative evidence and you all of the sudden want to tell me that it isn't all about stats, it matters about all of these other qualitative factors such as SOS, time of the season, injuries, etc.
I accept that you would have Denard as your QB, I accept that a lot of posters feel that way. I don't accept when someone makes a blanket statement like you did, "his production went up a lot" the second half of the season when he was comfortable with Borges offense, because that simply is not true.
I respect your posts, I like the opposing viewpoint, but when you toss a statement out that doesn't have merit I'm going to call you on it. I understand statistics don't tell the whole story but you were the one who brought up the "quantitative evidence" as a way to support your viewpoint and when I looked at the evidence that relates to Miller v. Robinson, while trying to project for the upcoming season who will be better, they simply don't favor Denard Robinson making a great improvement over his stats last season.
Hail: yes, it is quite possible that DR could make another "big jump" in terms of passing mechanics and passing-game awareness this year, which would make him downright sick.
The thing is, usually you'll see flashes of that ability from budding elite QBs early on, even before they mature, learn the passing game nuances, and work out all their mechanical kinks, etc.
Robert Griffin III showed flashes of brilliance as a frosh. C Keenum tossed 45 passing TDs as a soph. Andrew Luck had a huge soph campaign. To a lesser degree, we saw early signs of passing savviness from the likes of Landry Jones, Geno Smith, Matt Barkley, Tahj Boyd, Keith Price, Darron Thomas.
With DR, we see a guy who is a witch running the ball, buying time, avoiding sacks, but we haven't seen many flashes of him carving up secondaries with adept field vision, adroitly timed and placed throws, and a consistent rhythm in the passing game. If that ever happens, look out, but until then I'll continue to expect Denard to simply be Denard, which is still a hell of a player, but not an elite passer.