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ESPN's Team Efficiencies and How They Correlate with National Champions

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Rozersedge's picture
November 19, 2015 at 8:53pm
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In the past 10 years, only one team has won a national title when either their offensive or defensive efficiency was below 70. Also, no team has won a championship with an overall efficiency less than 80.

Year Team Offense Defense Overall
Team Efficiencies of National champions
2005 Texas 92.0 85.0 94.8
2006 Florida 76.1 78.0 84.6
2007 LSU 75.0 75.8 80.8
2008 Florida 91.4 86.4 95.4
2009 Alabama 77.3 89.9 89.3
2010 Auburn 92.4 57.2 84.0
2011 Alabama 80.4 94.5 92.5
2012 Alabama 90.3 91.2 95.4
2013 Florida State 93.5 89.2 96.1
2014 Ohio State 87.5 74.9 87.5

 

The team with the better overal efficiency did not always win, but there are two times when a team with an overall efficiency less than 80 made it to a championship or playoff game. Those teams didn't fair too well.

 

Year team offense defense overall
Team Efficiencies of Championship or Playoff Losers
2005 USC 95.8 78.7 94.1
2006 Ohio State 83.3 82.1 89.6
2007 Ohio State 67.2 82.5 82.3
2008 Oklahoma 95.3 79.2 93.8
2009 Texas 67.4 89.1 86.2
2010 Oregon 81.2 83.2 87.2
2011 LSU 76.6 90.2 92.1
2012 Notre Dame 67.9 81.2 77.8
2013 Auburn 83.5 66.8 82.3
2014 Oregon 91.3 69.9 88.7
2014 Alabama 84.9 82.5 87.3
2014 Florida State 76.3 62.9 74.8

 

If we take a look at team efficiencies thus far this season, only Clemson or Oklahoma would continue the trend, however, I think our offensive efficiency is deceivingly low due to the QB situation. Obviously, there is still a lot of football left to play and the efficiency numbers will change.

 

Team Offense defense overall
2015 top ten team efficiencies
Alabama 66.3 92.8 87.4
Clemson 81.4 87.1 87.0
Oklahoma 82.4 83.1 86.7
Notre Dame 86.5 61.7 83.6
Baylor 91.9 59.6 83.1
Ohio State 63.0 82.6 81.4
North Carolina 85.4 60.5 80.5
Oklahoma State 75.0 72.1 79.0
Florida 59.6 83.2 78.8
Stanford 80.6 64.5 77.6

Source: http://espn.go.com/college-football/statistics/teamratings/_/tab/efficiency

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