Miller vs Colorado

thePhilipJFry's picture
September 27, 2011 at 12:34p
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Completely ripped off from MGoBrian. 

He explains his terms here http://mgoblog.blogspot.com/2006/10/hennechart-legend.html

  dead on catchable inaccurate bad read throwaway batted pressure
attempts 3 5 5 0 0 1 0
completions 2 3 0 0 0 0 0
yards 49 34 0 0 0 0 0
td 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Feast or famine for Miller against Colorado.  It's the first time I've used the dead on designation all year and Miller lights it up 3 times, twice for touchdowns and once for a ball that didn't even go down as a completion.  On the first touchdown pass Braxton hits the deep ball over the top of 2 Colorado defensive backs, the threat of him running the football gets the safety out of position and Miller takes advantage.  He had a large window to throw the ball into, but hit Devin Smith in stride anyway.  On the second touchdown pass Ohio State is facing a 6 man rush, and Miller gets rid of the ball early completing the pass above the defensive back to a leaping Devin Smith.  On a 2nd and 21 Miller puts the ball right on the money 25 yards downfield and over the shoulder of Devin Smith at the sideline, Smith is hit out of bounds and drops the ball when he hits the ground.

On the famine side of things on Miller's second attempt of the day he tries a back shoulder throw to Devin Smith in the end zone, the defender falls and still gets a hand on it.  If Miller gets it to the pylon this is a touchdown, where the ball is thrown he's lucky it doesn't get picked.  Two more of the inaccurate passes occur when Miller breaks out of the pocket, finds a reciever, but struggles getting the ball on target.  The last pass I have down as inaccurate is a 3rd and 13 play in the 4th quarter.  Miller sees 7 men at the line of scrimmage, throws the hot read as Colorado backs out of the 7 man rush, unfortunately Spencer not looking for the ball and not where Miller expects him to be.

After a game where all the passing game provided was famine a little feast is fantastic, but the proportion of inaccurate attempts and the proportion of drops (3 on 14 attempts) is way too high.

Runs

  designed scramble sack sneak knee
att 7 6 3 0 0
yards 52 46 -20 0 0
td 0 0 0 0 0
fumbles 0 0 0 0 0

Three sacks in the game, one was the result of a 6 man rush and Miller not getting rid of the ball.  The other two were the defensive end using a spin move to get inside and get to Miller.  The scrambles include Miller picking up a 3rd and 9 by slipping the tackle of a linebacker who is spying him.  Huge production from Miller on designed running plays. 

Recievers

  comp targets yards td drops yac
Stoneburner 0 1 0 0 0 0
Fields 1 1 10 0 0 4
Fragel 2 2 24 0 0 16
Devin Smith 2 5 49 2 1 0
Spencer 0 1 0 0 0 0
Williams 0 1 0 0 1 0
Hyde 0 1 0 0 0 0
Berry 0 1 0 0 1 0

Devin Smith clearly was Miller's favorite target while Verlon Reed was not targeted a single time in the game.  The three drops really hurt, erasing a 25 yard gain, a 10 yard gain and who knows on the screen to Berry.

This next table is similar to what I think mgobrian is doing with his receiving chart but I am unable to find a link to his explanations so mine will have to do.  The first digit in the grade is from the receiver’s point of view, 4 easy to 1 impossible.  The second digit indicates the presence of the defender (1 there, 0 not there) at the time the ball hits the receiver’s hands.  When I say there, I mean close contact.
Therefore:
11  Bad pass, tight coverage.
10  Bad pass, no defender to stop it
21  Really tough ball to catch and in tight coverage.  A catch on this means the receiver is saving his qb.
20  Really tough ball to catch, no coverage.
31  Ball outside the strike zone, tight coverage
30  Ball outside the strike zone, no coverage
41  Ball on the money, tight coverageb
40  Ball on the money, no coverage

  11 10 21 20 31 30 41 40
att 0 1 3 2 1 0 1 5
comp 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 4
yd 0 0 17 0 0 0 0 66
td 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Just how good was the catch by Devin Smith in my eyes, well while Miller threw the ball to the only spot where he could complete the pass (dead on) as seen from Smith's point of view it was a near superhuman effort to pull it down (21).  This play was the result of an aggressive quarterback trying to make plays and a reciever taking advantage of that.

For the receivers this is catches/opportunities

  11 10 21 20 31 30 41 40
Stoneburner     0/1          
Fields               1/1
Fragel               2/2
Devin Smith     1/2 0/1     0/1 1/1
Spencer   0/1            
Williams         0/1      
Hyde       0/1        
Berry               0/1