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Run_Fido_Run's blog

Coop was better than Earle

The two worst Ohio State football coaches in the last 60+ years were Earle Bruce and John Cooper. To be fair, Ohio State has only had five head coaches since Woody arrived in 1951 (not including interim coach, Luke Fickell) and the other two on the list are Jim Tressel and Urban Meyer. Earle and Coop were both fine coaches, but on a list as illustrious as HC at Ohio State, a few names inevitably have to occupy the lower spots on the totem pole. IMO, the coach on the bottom rung is Earle, not Coop.

The opposing argument - Earle over Coop - which I'll try to refute, is usually based on comparing raw numbers:

Earle Bruce: 0.755 win percentage; 5-4 v. Michigan; 5-3 in bowl games.

John Cooper: 0.715 win percentage; 2-10-1 [edit: corrected from 1-10-1, which was erroneous] v. Michigan; 3-8 in bowl games.

The above numbers are misleading, though. First, when Bruce arrived at Ohio State in 1979, the talent left behind by Woody was very strong. Earle's best year at Ohio State was his first year, 1979, playing almost exclusively with Woody's players. Earle's second best team might have been the 1980 team, with the key players again mostly having been Woody recruits. In 1980, Ohio State lost to #11 UCLA (Kenny Easley and Freeman McNeil), to #10 Michigan in a tight defensive struggle, and to an underrated #10 PSU (Todd Blackledge, Curt Warner, etc.). Thereafter, Earle struggled to recruit enough of the highest-caliber players that we expect at Ohio State, especially on the defensive side of the ball.

By the time Cooper arrived in 1988, the talent cupboard was pretty bare by Buckeye standards, prompting his infamous "too many slow white guys" quip. It took several years for Coop to rebuild the talent base. If we allow that Coop's first five years at Ohio State involved a heavy rebuilding project, whereas Bruce was set up for success from the get go, we see that Coop's post-1992 winning percentage was 0.773 (or 8th best in the nation during that period). Some fans believe that Coop kind of lost control of the program toward the end of his regime - which is the main reason he was fired - but otherwise the program was mostly on the upswing during Coop's reign.

Second, the Big Ten was probably stronger overall during Cooper's time at Ohio State compared to when Bruce was head coach. In the 1980s, the Big Ten was still kind of the "Big Two and Little Eight." Iowa under Hayden Fry had some big years, Purdue was good at times, etc. After Cooper took over, though, "parity" was in vogue. Programs that historically had been bottom-feeders either had a serious resurgence (e.g. Wisconsin, Illinois) or enjoyed several big years (e.g., Northwestern, Indiana). The overall quality of coaching continued to improve (e.g., Alvarez and, briefly, Saban at MSU). And, obviously, PSU joining the conference in 1993 also elevated the overall level of competition.

Finally, while there is no excusing Coop's 2-10-1 [edit: correction] record against Michigan, it was a relatively tough era in which to play Michigan. Whereas Michigan had the 12th best winning percentage (79-21-1) between 1979 and 1987, they had the 7th best winning percentage (121-33-4) between 1988 and 2000. Granted, Bruce is responsible for some of the losses that lowered Michigan's overall win percentage in the 1980s. But it was also because the Michigan program had several middling seasons (by Michigan standards) toward the latter part of Bo's great run at Michigan, although Bo did go out in style his last two years there.

Overreliance on Braxton Miller?

Braxton Miller is the Ohio State offense. That's what we're hearing every week from pundits and announcers, opposing players and coaches. After Miller racked up 315 of Ohio State's 383 total offensive yards against Michigan State, defensive coordinator Pat Narduzzi lamented, "He is their offense . . .  we just didn’t make enough plays on him.”

No question, the Buckeyes offense revolves around Braxton Miller. Ideally, as we've discussed many times on this blog, the Buckeyes will continue to diversify their offense, develop other playmakers, and find ways to reduce hits and/or overreliance on Braxton. Nevertheless, I wonder if this theme (Miller = Ohio State offense) is a bit overblown. It's typical for an elite QB - whether he is primarily a passer, a runner, or a dual threat - to be involved in a relatively high percentage of his team's offensive production.

Among the current top 25 players (all QBs) in total offense per game, nine other QBs rank higher than Braxton Miller in terms of their individual offensive production as a percentage of their team's total offense:

1. Denard Robinson (Michigan) = 0.816
2. Zac Dysert (Miami OH) = 0.808
3. Jordan Lynch (Northern Ill.) = 0.749
4. B.J. Daniels (South Fla.) = 0.740
5. Ryan Nassib (Syracuse) = 0.727
6. Geno Smith (West Virginia) = 0.722
7. Nick Florence (Baylor) = 0.722
8. Stephen Morris (Miami FL) = 0.710
9. Sean Mannion (Oregon St.) = 0.708
10. Braxton Miller (Ohio St.) = 0.704
11. Matt Scott (Arizona) = 0.703
12. Rakeem Cato (Marshall) = 0.702
13. David Piland (Houston) = 0.700
14. Brett Smith (Wyoming) = 0.692
15. Johnny Manziel (Texas A&M) = 0.689
16. Dalton Williams (Akron) = 0.674
17. Kolton Browning (La.-Monroe) = 0.658
18. Tyler Wilson (Arkansas) = 0.642
19. Derek Carr (Fresno St.) = 0.633
20. Tajh Boyd (Clemson) = 0.625
21. Keith Wenning (Ball St.) = 0.621
22. Tyler Bray (Tennessee) = 0.618
23. Brett Hundley (UCLA) = 0.597
24. Cody Fajardo (Nevada) = 0.592
25. Colby Cameron (La Tech) = 0.573

The Buckeyes probably would have relied a little less on Braxton through the first six games if not for a couple of factors: 1). injuries to RBs Jordan Hall and Carlos Hyde; 2). early season "growing pains" kept the Buckeyes from blowing out lesser teams (Miami OH and UAB) in the first half, resulting in Miller getting more snaps at the expense of Kenny Guiton. The Buckeyes apparent overreliance on Miller has been a product of early season inconsistencies as much as a lack of other established playmakers.

For comparison, in 2005, Vince Young had other playmakers like J. Charles, Selvin Young, Limas Sweed, and Billy Pittman. For the season, Young was responsible for 61-percent of his team's total offense, which is below Braxton's current pace. However, Texas outscored its opponents 50.2 to 16.4 per game, so the Horns were on cruise control in the second halves of many games that year. In their two most competitive games, Young was responsible for 91-percent of his team's offense at Ohio State and 84-percent against USC in the Rose Bowl.

Last year, RGIII was responsible for 65-percent of Baylor's offense. In 2008, Sam Bradford had a hand in 62-percent of Oklahoma's total offensive yards.

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