Statistical analysis of the bowl teams/games

Maestro's picture
December 15, 2011 at 11:05a
2 Comments

Initially posted at http://www.thebestdamnpoll.com

This is a statistical analysis of bowl games.  I took national rankings in 13 different categories to give each bowl team a score.  The categories were total offense, total defense, scoring offense, scoring defense, penalties, turnover margin, time of possession, 3rd down conversions, opponents 3rd down conversions, red zone efficiency, opponents red zone efficiency, opponents record, and team record.

I looked at each match up and gave each game a title of either a PUSH (less than 10 point differential between team scores), SOLID (10-20 point differential between team scores) or BLOWOUT (greater than 20 point differential between team scores).

Here is the breakdown by score ranking and each teams score.

1. Alabama 9.6
2. Wisconsin 19.7
3. Michigan 20.7
4. Stanford 22.0
5. Boise State 24.5
6. LSU 24.7
7. Virginia Tech 28.6
8. Oklahoma 30.9
9. Georgia 32.4
10. TCU 35.7
11. Temple 36.2
12. Houston 37.0
13. Oklahoma State 37.5
14. Michigan State 37.7
15. South Carolina 38.9
16. Georgia Tech 39.3
17. Toledo 39.7
18. Arkansas State 40.3
19. Kansas State 41.2
20. Arkansas 42.3
21. BYU 42.4
22. Rutgers 44.6
23. North Carolina State 44.7
24. Oregon 44.8
24. Nevada 44.8
26. Clemson 46.0
26. California 46.0
28 Southern Mississippi 46.1
29. Missouri 46.4
30. Illinois 47.1
31. Texas 48.4
32. Nebraska 48.5
32. Notre Dame 48.5
34. Virginia 50.5
35. Florida State 50.7
36. Mississippi State 51.3
37. West Virginia 51.5
38. Ohio State 51.6
39. Air Force 52.1
40. Ohio 52.9
41. Cincinnati 53.5
42. Wyoming 54.2
43. San Diego State 54.3
43. North Carolina 54.3
45. SMU 54.5
45. Iowa 54.5
47. Louisville 54.8
48. Florida International 56.1
49. Texas A&M 56.3
50. Tulsa 56.6
51. Western Michigan 56.8
52. Penn State 57.0
53. Vanderbilt 57.2
54. Arizona State 57.3
55. Northern Illinois 57.4
56. Utah State 57.8
57. Louisiana Tech 58.4
58. Utah 58.5
59. Pittsburgh 59.3
60. Northwestern 59.5
61. Wake Forest 62.1
62. Florida 62.8
63. Baylor 64.0
64. Washington 64.4
65. Marshall 66.8
66. Louisiana Lafayette 68.9
67. Iowa State 69.6
68. Purdue 74.3
69. Auburn 75.8
70. UCLA 82.7

Here are the games.  I call a home game one in which the home team travels around 150 miles or fewer to the destination. 

New Mexico Bowl - Albuquerque December 17th
Temple 36.2 vs Wyoming 54.2
SOLID Temple

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Boise December 17th
Ohio 52.9 vs Utah State 57.8
PUSH Ohio

New Orleans Bowl - New Orleans December 17th
Louisiana Lafayette 68.9 vs San Diego State 54.3
SOLID SDSU
Home Game for Louisiana Lafayette

Beef O'Brady's Bowl - St. Petersburg December 20th
Florida International 56.1 vs Marshall 66.8
SOLID FIU

Poinsettia Bowl - San Diego December 21st
TCU 35.7 vs Louisiana Tech 58.4
BLOWOUT TCU

Las Vegas Bowl - Las Vegas December 22nd
Boise State 24.5 vs Arizona State 57.3
BLOWOUT Boise State

Hawaii Bowl - Honolulu December 24th
Nevada 44.8 vs Southern Mississippi 46.1
PUSH Nevada

Independence Bowl - Shreveport December 26th
Missouri 46.4 vs North Carolina 54.3
PUSH Missouri

Little Caesars Bowl - Detroit December 27th
Purdue 74.3 vs Western Michigan 56.8
SOLID Western Michigan
Home game for WMU

Belk Bowl - Charlotte December 27th
North Carolina State 44.7 vs Louisville 54.8
SOLID NC State
Home game for NC State

Military Bowl - Washington December 28th
Air Force 52.1 vs Toledo 39.7
SOLID Toledo

Holiday Bowl - San Diego December 28th
California 46.0 vs Texas 48.4
PUSH Cal

Champs Sports Bowl - Orlando December 29th
Notre Dame 48.5 vs Florida State 50.7
PUSH Notre Dame

Alamo Bowl - San Antonio December 29th
Baylor 64.0 vs Washington 64.4
PUSH Baylor
Home game for Baylor

Armed Forces Bowl - Dallas December 30th
BYU 42.4 vs Tulsa 56.6
SOLID BYU

Pinstripe Bowl - New York December 30th
Rutgers 44.6 vs Iowa State 69.6
BLOWOUT Rutgers
Home game for Rutgers

Music City Bowl - Nashville December 30th
Mississippi State 51.3 vs Wake Forest 62.1
SOLID Miss State

Insight Bowl - Tempe December 30th
Iowa 54.5 vs Oklahoma 30.9
BLOWOUT OU

Texas Bowl - Houston December 31st
Northwestern 59.5 vs Texas A&M 56.3
PUSH TAMU
Home game for Texas A&M

Sun Bowl - El Paso December 31st
Georgia Tech 39.3 vs Utah 58.5
SOLID GTech

Liberty Bowl - Memphis December 31st
Cincinnati 53.5 vs Vanderbilt 57.2
PUSH Cincy
Home game for Vandy

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl - San Francisco December 31st
Illinois 47.1 vs UCLA 82.7
BLOWOUT Illinois

Chick-Fil-A Bowl - Atlanta December 31st
Auburn 75.8 vs Virginia 50.5
BLOWOUT UVA
Home game for Auburn

Ticket City Bowl - Dallas January 2nd
Houston 37.0 vs Penn State 57.0
BLOWOUT Houston

Capitol One Bowl - Orlando January 2nd
Nebraska 48.5 vs South Carolina 38.9
PUSH South Carolina

Gator Bowl - Jacksonville January 2nd
Florida 62.8 vs Ohio State 51.6
SOLID Ohio State
Home game for Florida

Outback Bowl - Tampa January 2nd
Michigan State 37.7 vs Georgia 32.4
PUSH Georgia

Cotton Bowl - Dallas January 6th
Arkansas 42.3 vs Kansas State 41.2
PUSH K-State

BBVA Compass Bowl - Birmingham January 7th
Pitt 59.3 vs SMU 54.5
PUSH SMU

GoDaddy.com Bowl - Mobile January 8th
Arkansas State 40.3 vs Northern Illinois 57.4
SOLID Arkansas State

Rose Bowl - Pasadena January 2nd
Wisconsin 19.7 vs Oregon 44.8
BLOWOUT Wisconsin

Fiesta Bowl - Glendale January 2nd
Stanford 22.0 vs Oklahoma State 37.5
SOLID Stanford

Sugar Bowl - New Orleans January 3rd
Michigan 20.7 vs Virginia Tech 28.6
PUSH Michigan

Orange Bowl - Miami January 4th
Clemson 46 vs West Virginia 51.5
PUSH Clemson

BCS Title Game - New Orleans January 9th
Alabama 9.6 vs LSU 24.7
SOLID Bama
Home game for LSU

Comments

BED's picture

Wow.  This is awesome.  Well done, Maestro!

The Ohio State University, College of Arts & Sciences, Class of 2006
The Ohio State University Moritz College of Law, Class of 2009

Maestro's picture

Thanks BED.  Just a fun way to look at the numbers and try to get a handle on the bowl games.  I know I haven't seen a lot of NIU, Arkansas State, FIU, WMU etc. so it helps me get a feel for the games.

vacuuming sucks