*Results Update* CFB Week 1 Picks ATS

JDupler's picture
August 30, 2012 at 1:37p
8 Comments

Finished 4-5.  Not too bad but not good enough.

Here are the games I like to start off the 2012 season.  Note: I cannot bet on the Buckeyes due to my heart.  Heavy on the favorites and against Notre Dame, Richard and Kentucky.  As is tradition.

 

South Carolina -7 at Vanderbilt

Who is going to stop Lattimore and who is going to score against Clowney and co.?

L 17-13. Carolina's defense was gassed midway through the 1st quarter, starting QB was hurt, came back, hurt again, came back, hurt again, came back, and standard early game sloppiness came into play.  Also, they were helped out by a no-call PI to end Vandy's chance.  0-1.  Pretty good start.  Not.

 

Boise State at Michigan State -7

New players for Boise, at a good Sparty team at night.  Top tier B1G team should win by at least 10.

L 17-13. MSU with a very Bollman effort. New quarterback has a long way to go. Bell looks likes Ringer 2.0. Of course they took a knee inside the 5 to end the game. 

 

Notre Dame vs. Navy +16.5 (Ireland)

Option team, in another country, and no answers behind center?

L 50-10. No spread equals no stupid interceptions. Not going to touch the Michigan game. 

 

Marshall at West Virginia -24.5

Noon game, so Holgo might take some time to wake up, but 70+ on Clemson is an easy 55+ on Marshall.

W 69-34. Holgo happy hour.

 

Northwestern -1.5 at Syracuse

Love taking NW on the road early in the year.

L 42-41. Just a casual 35-13 3rd quarter lead erased.  Bad loss of the year.  The risk you run when taking that B1G smart school in sports.

 

Michigan vs. Alabama -12.5 (Dallas)

Saban has had all summer/fall to prepare for the NCAA NY Jets playbook.  Deenard doesn't leave under his own power in this one.

W 41-14.  31-0 before the Michgan Men knew it.  Not suprised at all.  The smoke and mirrors seem to be gone in Hoke Year 2.  If you really want to know how I feel about this game, check out @jamiedupler.

 

Oklahoma -30.5 at UTEP

Sooners should have 38 at half.  Will they hold on?  Yes.

L 24-7. Getting off that Sooner buggie real quick.

 

Toledo +10 at Arizona

MAC team, over a TD favorite against a crappy Arizona squad that hasn't come close to mastering Richard's offense?  The Rockets could get the W.

W 24-17 OT. Toledo played well enough to win, and 'zona played just crappy enough to win in OT.  Cannot sleep on that Maction.

 

Kentucky at Louisville -13.5

Kentucky, bad.  Anything under 14 and me likey.

W 32-14. UK gave up an opening year 99 1/2 yard drive to Charlie Strong.  Expect to see UK making me some money this year.

Comments

Bucks43201's picture

JDUPLER -- I like your picks. I like MSU. They are a real darkhorse team this year, with that D. It does worry me that they lost Kirk Cousins - who was a great QB, and their best receivers, but - they do have most of that O-Line returning & some good RBs.
I'm always hesitant on week 1 because it's so early, but I do like Va. Tech over Ga. Tech because Va. Tech has had many weeks to prepare for that Triple Option attack, versus only having a week in a non-week 1 regular season game. Ga. Tech is great if they have the lead, running that clock out, but if they get behind by double digits in the 4th quarter -- they don't have the passing O to come back & win, especially against that Va. Tech D.
Va Tech: 31
Ga. Tech: 20

"You win with people." - Woody Hayes

BuckI_1033's picture

I disagree on Bama vs Michigan big time and the line available now is +14.  Great value on Michigan in my opinion.

"You'll be proud of our young people in the classroom, in the community, and most especially in 310 days in Ann Arbor, Michigan on the football field." 

NoVA Buckeye's picture

I disagree with the jNW pick. I'm a strong believer in the Orange this year and could, quite honestly, win the Big America East this season.

The offseason begins when your season ends. Even then there are no days off.

phxbuck's picture

A.J. McCarron will have be able to sit in the pocket for days, I have a feeling it might get ugly unless Denard can work some magic. 

tampa buckeye's picture

Tread lighty the first week too many unknowns...Ohio St is a good bet this week. Urban wont take his foot off the gas. USC is giving a bunch to Hawaii bunch should over...i also like OU vs Penn st
I'm going 5/1/1 worst case i win 3

pug's picture

1-4 is a rough way to start...

tampa buckeye's picture

Sweet sweet cover. I really should be charging you all for this info ;)

GlueFingers Lavelli's picture

I cant believe Oklahoma looked so bad.  My one good pick was Iowa State over Tulsa.  I'm not sure why Tulsa was favored.

Dustin Fox was our leading tackler as a corner.... because his guy always caught the ball.